Bengals vs Chiefs

Sportsbooks list the Chiefs as slight favorites over the Bengals and our betting analysts makes their pick for the AFC Championship.

Eagles later in the day, which we’ve also [broken down here.](https://www.si.com/fannation/betting/49ers-vs-eagles-money-line-pick-nfc-championship-winner) [DraftKings Sportsbook](https://offers.alarmsports.com/redirects/v1/offers/fannation/dk/fnchiefs/?tags=newlaunch) account yet, sign up through this link and you’ll receive their [“Bet $5, Get $200 instantly”](https://offers.alarmsports.com/redirects/v1/offers/fannation/dk/fnchiefs/?tags=newlaunch) new customer promo. The game could come down to a few key plays and turnovers, making it another must watch AFC Championship in Kansas City. You can back our best bet at Kansas City opened as a 1.5 point favorite, dropped to a 2.5 point home underdogs, but are now back to being [listed as the favorites over Cincinnati ](https://www.si.com/betting/2023/01/26/odds-lines-shift-afc-championship-game-chiefs-bengals)with the spread sitting at Chiefs -1.5. Though Andy Reid’s squad finished with an impressive 14-3 straight-up record, the Chiefs were flat-out bad at covering the spread. In fact, just two of the Chiefs' nine home games went over the total while just three of the Bengals' away games hit the over. Under 48 (-110) The Bengals' defense, however, is the fifth-ranked defense in points per game, which could make the game total of 48 difficult to go over. Then there are the pass-catchers, Kansas City’s tight end Travis Kelce is making a case for being one of the all-time greats and the Bengals have a fantastic trio of receivers in Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, and Tyler Boyd. Both squads have very impressive offenses with some of the NFL’s best playmakers on the roster. Last season, Joe Burrow and the Bengals won in Kansas City in overtime, 27-24.

A look at the point spread, moneyline and total in the AFC Championship between the Kansas City Chiefs and Cincinnati Bengals.

[FanDuel Sportsbook](https://www.bleachernation.com/link/fanduel/). Conversely, the Bengals pass rush should have a tough time against a Chiefs O-line with a very high pass rush win rate this season. The point total in Bengals vs Chiefs is 48 right now. This line moved heavily following [Patrick Mahomes](https://www.betsperts.com/free-picks/nfl-player-props/patrick-mahomes-ii-odds-afc-championship-game-patrick-mahomes-ii-prop-bets-and-picks-vs-the-bengals-january-29-2023/)‘ health concerns. With Championship Weekend upon us there perhaps hasn’t been a hotter topic than the Bengals vs Chiefs odds. While betting limits have remained relatively low due to the uncertainly surrounding this game, it’s still been a robust market.

The Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs meet again for an AFC championship game rematch. Kansas City will host the AFC championship game for an NFL ...

The Bengals won the turnover battle in two of their past three matchups against the Chiefs, including last year’s AFC championship game and the most recent meeting this season. To combat Cincinnati's defensive scheme, the Chiefs should try to establish the run with running backs Isiah Pacheco and Jerick McKinnon. The Chiefs had the NFL’s No. Here are three keys to the AFC championship game: Ja'Marr Chase torched the Chiefs defense to put it mildly. Kansas City will host the AFC championship game for an NFL record fifth consecutive season.

The Bengals will travel to Kansas City to play the Chiefs on Sunday. Here's how to watch the AFC championship game.

The Bengals, already the AFC North champions, beat the Buffalo Bills 27-10 on Jan. The winner will claim the AFC title and a spot in the Super Bowl. ET at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. 29, at 6:30 p.m. The Bengals and the Chiefs will play on CBS. [Cincinnati Bengals](https://www.cincinnati.com/sports/bengals/) will travel to Kansas City to play the [Kansas City Chiefs](https://www.cincinnati.com/story/sports/nfl/bengals/2023/01/23/chiefs-coach-says-patrick-mahomes-going-to-play-against-bengals/69833511007/) at Arrowhead Stadium on Sunday.

We're two games away from the 2023 Super Bowl with this weekend witnessing the National Football Conference (NFC) and American Football Conference (AFC) ...

However, since then the Bengals have rebounded, and have 17 out of the 31 ties with the Bengals winning the other 14 games. Calling a winner between the two will be hard given the form each team is in. In the AFC the Cincinnati Bengals will face the Kansas City Chiefs for a second year running with the Bengals prevailing over the Chiefs during their matchup last year. It is interesting to note that over the past year, ie 2022, the Bengals have beaten the Chiefs on three separate occasions including the 2022 AFC showdown. However, if recent form is anything to go by then the team from Missouri will have their work cut out for them. The Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs have faced each other a total of 31 times with the two sides first meeting each other in 1968.

CINCINNATI (WKRC) - Here are five storylines of note in Sunday's Bengals AFC Championship game against the Kansas City Chiefs, which will kick off at 6:30 ...

The Bengals are slight underdogs for their matchup against the Chiefs but the betting trends all favor banking on Cincinnati.

[NFL at DraftKings ](https://offers.alarmsports.com/redirects/v1/offers/fannation/dk/fnbengals/?tags=newlaunch)is simple. The Bengals quarterback is 5-1 SU and ATS in the post-season. The Chiefs are one of the league’s worst teams at covering the spread and bettors learned quickly not to trust Kansas City. One of the few areas where the Chiefs' defense actually outperforms the Bengals' offense is in yards per play, where the Bengals' 5.4 yards per play ranks 14th and the Chiefs' defense allows 5.1, which ranks 9th in the NFL. With the stakes so high during Conference Championship Weekend, online sportsbooks have stepped up their promotional game. [DraftKings Sportsbook ](https://offers.alarmsports.com/redirects/v1/offers/fannation/dk/fnbengals/?tags=newlaunch)account yet, [ sign up through this link](https://offers.alarmsports.com/redirects/v1/offers/fannation/dk/fnbengals/?tags=newlaunch) and you’ll receive their “Bet $5, Get $200 instantly” new customer promo. With a win on Sunday, Burrow’s six career playoff victories would tie Russell Wilson’s NFL record for the most postseason wins by a starting quarterback in his first three seasons. With a win over the Chiefs, the Bengals would become the first team in NFL history to defeat the No. Cincinnati was one of the league’s best teams at rewarding bettors by covering the spread. Under 48 (-110) For the second consecutive season, the Bengals will travel to Kansas City and take on the Chiefs in the AFC Championship. Cincinnati would also become the fourth team since 2000 to appear in consecutive Super Bowls (Chiefs, Patriots, Seahawks).

Bengals vs Chiefs props and same-game parlay for the AFC Championship, including Ja'Marr Chase anytime TD.

We like targeting the Over for our Bengals vs Chiefs same-game parlay, but we wouldn’t be opposed to throwing in Kelce anytime TD (-120) to increase your payout even further. Our final addition to our Bengals vs Chiefs parlay is the Over of 48 points. Player props are a great way to increase your potential parlay payout, and we’re targetting Cincinnati’s top receiver in our Bengals vs Chiefs same-game parlay for the AFC Championship. We expect Kansas City to have success throwing the ball to their tight ends, in particular Travis Kelce. You have to go back to last year against the Titans for Chase’s last 100-yard receiving game in a postseason contest. Cincinnati is giving up 229.1 passing yards per game, which is 10th-worst in the NFL. The Chiefs, meanwhile, are allowing 220.9 yards per game through the air. The Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs meet once again in the AFC championship game on Sunday. Expect him to find paydirt at least once in the rematch. Mahomes is 0-3 against Burrow and the Bengals, and he’s going to have a hard time breaking that trend playing with expected limited mobility. Cincinnati, on the other hand, is an NFL-leading 8-2 ATS on the road. Mahomes sat out briefly before returning later in the contest.

It'll be Joe Burrow vs. Patrick Mahomes in a bid to advance to Super Bowl LVII.

[Joe Mixon](https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/players/2131143/joe-mixon/). Reader](https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/players/1983526/d-j-reader/) tied a career-high with five pressures, and then [Mike Hilton](https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/players/2000929/mike-hilton/) accounted for four pressures. [Ja'Marr Chase](/nfl/players/2966320/jamarr-chase/) total receptions: Over 6.5 (-137). [Joe Mixon](/nfl/players/2131143/joe-mixon/) total rushing yards: Over 58.5 (-119). [Bills](https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/teams/BUF/buffalo-bills/), they thrashed them. [Isiah Pacheco](/nfl/players/2966551/isiah-pacheco/) total rushing attempts: Over 11.5 (-127). To see his NFC Championship pick, [click here](https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/news/2023-nfl-conference-title-picks-odds-bengals-defense-keeps-chiefs-in-check-eagles-exploit-49ers-weaknesses/). [Joe Burrow](https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/players/2179798/joe-burrow/) and the offense had success moving the football. [Patrick Mahomes](https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/players/2142052/patrick-mahomes/) and his ankle injury, and I do believe that it will limit him some. [NFL](/nfl/) Analyst Pete Prisco on why he expects Cincinnati to continue its success against the Chiefs and pull out the 27-24 win. That game needed overtime to determine a winner and it was [Joe Burrow's](/nfl/players/2179798/joe-burrow/) Bengals that found themselves as the last team standing in the AFC. [NFL picks](/nfl/picks/experts/).

Giving you the best anytime touchdown scorer picks for the AFC Championship Game between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs.

He hasn’t scored a ton of touchdowns this season, which is why we can get him at +310, but the targets and receptions are there enough for this bet to be worth it at +310. He had a big game against the Bills last week, hauling in five passes for 59 yards and a touchdown. Let’s bet on him getting at least one more on Sunday. McKinnon didn’t score last week, but he’s been an absolute touchdown machine for the Chiefs this season. He hauled in 14 receptions on 17 targets and scored twice. Kelce stepped up in a huge way in the Divisional Round against the Jaguars.

Last year, the Bengals were plucky underdogs who shocked the NFL world when they upset the Chiefs in the AFC championship game. A year later, Cincinnati is ...

[Against the spread](https://www.sportingnews.com/us/nfl/news/bengals-chiefs-picks-predictions-spread-super-bowl-57/uhjiohyjpgtihqieyqwgtmox) Of course, if Burrow and the Bengals move to 2-0 on Sunday after all the trash talk, the talk of "Burrowhead" might not go away anytime soon. The Chiefs have started to amp up their own trash talk. The video drew the ire of many, [including Kansas City Mayor Quinton Lucas and Brittany Mahomes, Patrick Mahomes' wife](https://twitter.com/QuintonLucasKC/status/1619107587148095488). Kuntz of Kansas City television station KDAF](https://twitter.com/HaroldRKuntz3/status/1618382400547086339). Part of what makes "Burrowhead" a bold proclamation is that Burrow has played in Arrowhead Stadium just once. So I think it was just kind of one of those media things." While the team is confident heading into Sunday's matchup, it hasn't made it a mantra. My competitive juices and love for cincy got the best of me. "I just knew we were going to Kansas City and it's Arrowhead, so, I thought of my quarterback and called it Burrowhead." The Bengals won all three meetings. A year later, Cincinnati is not taking the underdog role.

Tanner McGrath looks at the prop market and offers up his best wagers on Joe Burrow and Patrick Mahomes ahead of Sunday's AFC Championship.

The content on this page is for informational purposes only. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. Given the Bengals’ offensive line issues and Burrow’s scrambling ability, I think Burrow will be forced to produce some yards with his legs. The app allows you to [parlay](https://www.actionnetwork.com/education/parlay) NFL player props for real money in 30 states, including states where online betting is unavailable. This week, Chris Jones will attack the two backup tackles relentlessly, and I think we’ll see Burrow have to scramble more often. Additionally, this is the week we need to factor in the Bengals’ offensive line injuries. [Rushing Yards](https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/props/rushing-yards) Meanwhile, the Bengals have played better defensively, but they aren’t world-beaters. I also imagine play-action will be a deadly tool for the Chiefs this weekend. [FanDuel Sportsbook](https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/reviews/fanduel) Reid can do that with a hobbled Mahomes. [Passing Yards](https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/props/passing-yards)

Phillip Kall puts together a +1055 (!!) same game parlay for Sunday's AFC Championship between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs.

The content on this page is for informational purposes only. We may be compensated for the links provided on this page. We saw this in the previous matchup as both teams finished with just eight drives each and 12 of those 16 drives exceeded two minutes in length. On the other side, Mahomes’ injury will limit his mobility and ability to make those crazy game-changing plays we are accustomed to seeing. If Kansas City inches its way down the field via Kelce and Pacheco, it will also be burning clock. Pacheco has worked his way to the top spot in the Chiefs’ backfield and hasn’t turned back. The only other fear is the Chiefs offensive line answering the call. The Chiefs rank fifth in PFF’s run-blocking game this season. Kelce has been the focus of opposing defenses all year and no one has been able to stop him. If Kansas City isn’t pushing the envelope, neither will Cincinnati. Instead, we will focus on the tempo of the game. This year, Kansas City been much more methodical and we saw it happily utilize Kelce in a death-by-a-thousand paper-cut strategy.

The NFL playoffs continue Sunday with the Chiefs hosting the Bengals in the AFC Championship Game. Kickoff is at 6:30 p.m. ET with the game airing on CBS ...

The Bengals, meanwhile, are 5-1 against the spread during the postseason since 2021. This might be a welcome change for the Chiefs — or at least those who are inclined to bet on the Chiefs. Thanks in part to Patrick Mahomes' right ankle sprain, the Chiefs are 1-point underdogs against the Bengals, per BetMGM. Kelce caught a career-high 14 passes for 98 yards and two touchdowns in the 27-20 divisional-round victory against Jacksonville last weekend. “It wouldn’t put fear in them, that ‘Oh my god, we are walking into an environment that people don’t win in.’ It was going to be the opposite for our guys. The Vegas line was climbing, the Bengals were up to six-point underdogs. The Bills were 4-0 at home in the playoffs under head coach Sean McDermott. Mahomes didn’t make his usual number of superhuman plays and the offense wasn’t as explosive as normal, but he found ways to move the ball, manipulate the pocket with his limited mobility and make throws when it mattered. But throughout this season, including against the Jaguars on Saturday, Patrick Mahomes has shown his real greatest strength is his ability to continually adapt. After having the league's fifth-highest sack rate last season (8.9 percent), Joe Burrow has dropped to 18th this season (6.3 percent) thanks to improved pocket awareness — fewer of his pressured dropbacks turn into sacks — and faster processing. Cornerback Eli Apple leans against a wall in the visitor’s locker room of Highmark Stadium in Buffalo. [NFL](https://theathletic.com/nfl/) playoffs continue Sunday with the Chiefs hosting the Bengals in the AFC Championship Game.

Stuckey of Action Network previews the AFC Championship game between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs.

However, if that favors the Bengals significantly, the Chiefs will likely be playing from behind in a favorable game state for passing yards. Keep in mind, he had six catches (on seven targets) for 49 yards against the Chiefs earlier this season. Get up-to-the-minute [NFL odds here.](https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/odds) Plus, Perine has had a higher route and target percentage when he’s in the game. Burrow will likely cook (as usual) when he has time to take advantage of plus matchups on the outside. However, I’m not rushing to bet either side at under a field goal (I’d also bet Cincinnati +3) with the added uncertainty. [Bengals](https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/odds/cincinnati-bengals) vs. It’s worth noting that he did suffer a sprained ankle in the 2019 season opener against Jacksonville. That will hamper his movement, which will likely cause a significant shift in the offensive game plan and play-calling. He has been favored in each of his first 12 career playoff games — a record for the Super Bowl era. That was one of three meetings between these teams, with the other two coming in the regular season in the Queen City. [Chiefs](https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/odds/kansas-city-chiefs) pick as the two teams meet in Kansas City with a spot in the [Super Bowl](https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/futures/super-bowl-odds) on the line for the second straight season.

Analyzing Sunday's Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs AFC Championship Game odds and lines, with expert NFL picks and best bets.

[ChiefsWire](https://chiefswire.usatoday.com/) [ChargersWire](https://chargerswire.usatoday.com/) [CardsWire](https://cardswire.usatoday.com/) [BucsWire](https://bucswire.usatoday.com/) [BrownsWire](https://brownswire.usatoday.com/) [BroncosWire](https://broncoswire.usatoday.com/) [BillsWire](https://billswire.usatoday.com/) [BengalsWire](https://bengalswire.usatoday.com/) [BearsWire](https://bearswire.usatoday.com/) Please [gamble responsibly](https://sportsbookwire.usatoday.com/bet-and-wager-101-responsible-gaming-and-gambling/). [SBW staff picks](https://sportsbookwire.usatoday.com/2023/01/27/sportsbookwires-nfl-conference-championship-picks-ml-ats-and-o-u-predictions-for-all-games/) [Pick’em Challenge](https://dailyticket.usatoday.com/) and win!

Breaking down some of the best first touchdown scorer picks for the Kansas City Chiefs' game against the Cincinnati Bengals in the AFC Championship.

If that’s the case, he should be on the field when the Chiefs get close to the end zone early in the game. Either way, it’s more fun when you have a little skin in the game. Because Mahomes is dealing with an ankle injury, I anticipate the Chiefs to play out of the shotgun more often. Before being held out of the end zone last week McKinnon had scored in six straight games, totaling 8 TDs in that time. That being said, wouldn’t it be perfect if Mahomes was the first to score? First, the Chiefs were 1-point favorites.

The second ticket to the Super Bowl will be punched in Kansas City. Check out Action Network's favorite Bengals vs. Chiefs picks and bets.

[carries](https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/props/rushing-attempts) for 66 yards and a [touchdown](https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/props/anytime-touchdown-scorer). That includes 10 [catches](https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/props/receptions) for 95 yards and a touchdown in this AFC Championship Game against the Bengals a year ago. [catches](https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/props/receptions) and scored at least one touchdown in all but one of those games. [» Return to the table of contents «](#table) [sharp](https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/sharp-report), and these teams are great. [» Return to the table of contents «](#table) [Blake Krass](https://www.actionnetwork.com/article/author/blake-krass): No matter what level of health Patrick Mahomes is at, he will look to Travis Kelce. [» Return to the table of contents «](#table) [Tony Sartori](https://www.actionnetwork.com/article/author/tony-sartori): Burrow has not thrown a pick in his last three games, a trend that is likely to continue against a team he has owned. [Chiefs](https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/odds/kansas-city-chiefs) odds ahead of the AFC Championship Game. [Eagles](https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/odds/philadelphia-eagles)-Chiefs Super Bowl could see two RBs needing 50+ yards to pass him, still giving Mixon a potential path to win. Neither Buffalo or [Kansas](https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/kansas) City have the players in the secondary to slow down the best receiving corps in football. [Kansas](https://www.actionnetwork.com/online-sports-betting/kansas) City is a bet on Mahomes being healthy enough to put up his usual points, because it’s not like the Chiefs will stop the Bengals offense. [receiving yards](https://www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/props/receiving-yards).

An inside look at Sunday's Bengals-Chiefs AFC championship matchup in Kansas City:

The only coaches with more conference title appearances in the Super Bowl era are Belichick (13) and Landry (12). Hakeem Adeniji started his third game this season in place of La’el Collins (knee) at right tackle, and Max Scharping started a second at right guard for Alex Cappa (ankle). Jackson Carman started an NFL game at tackle for the first time, filling in for Jonah Williams (knee). He had only one tackle and one quarterback hit against the Jaguars. Kansas City defensive end Frank Clark, who has had his struggles in the regular season, had a huge sack against the Jaguars last week to give him 12 in his playoff career. In the past four postseasons, Kelce has played in 10 games and has 77 receptions for 964 yards and 12 TDs.

Here's everything you need to know to watch Cincinnati and Kansas City face off in the AFC Championship this Sunday.

Matchup Sunday’s game will kick off at 6:30 p.m. ET (5:30 p.m. - Start time: 6:30 p.m. Bengals game will be televised nationally on CBS. [DAZN (Canada)](https://prf.hn/click/camref:1100lfPvV) He was sidelined for a single drive before returning, but he never looked 100% the rest of the game. He has said he's "gonna play" this Sunday, but he may be a little hobbled. Meanwhile, the Chiefs took down the Jaguars last weekend, 27-20, to advance. Many experts spent the regular season debating whether Buffalo or Kansas City was the team to beat in the AFC, but Cincy beat both this season. The Bengals are coming off of a stunning blowout win in Buffalo last weekend. Joe Burrow and the Bengals won that game to punch their ticket to the 2022 Super Bowl.

Get ready. Because this game is going to be wild. The Cincinnati Bengals will soon be at Arrowhead Stadium to face the Kansas City Chiefs for the fourth ...

But the QB widely regarded to be the best in the league (maybe ever) is hobbled. Last week against the This will be the exact same situation for Cincinnati as last year: a [Super Bowl](https://www.sbnation.com/super-bowl) on the line in front of a hostile Kansas City crowd.

The Chiefs have owned just about every team in the NFL during their dominant, five-year run with Patrick Mahomes as their starting quarterback.

It's also worth noting that while Burrow didn't miss a start, he and the Bengals only played in 16 games because of their canceled Week 17 bout with the Bills. That Mahomes' stats dip against the Bengals and that Cincinnati is just one of four teams against which he hasn't a losing record perhaps shouldn't come as a surprise. So, the Bengals quarterback could give him more of a run for his money in 2023. Burrow certainly didn't have a bad season by any measure; he was named a Pro Bowler and threw a career-high 35 touchdowns during the campaign. Burrow has a cumulative passer rating of 121 against the Chiefs. He led the NFL in passing yards, touchdown passes and QBR and was named a first-team AP All-Pro for his performance. Here's a breakdown of his stats against the Chiefs and how he stacks up against Mahomes. Mahomes has certainly produced enough to keep Kansas City in shootouts with Burrow, but he has been more explosive than efficient and consistent. As such, Burrow so he has frequently targeted those two in the passing game. Burrow has been nothing short of excellent during his career when facing the Chiefs. They won each by a narrow, three-point margin and have established themselves as the top threat to Kansas City in the loaded AFC. The Chiefs have owned just about every team in the NFL during their dominant, five-year run with Patrick Mahomes as their starting quarterback.

For the second straight season, the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs will square off in the AFC Championship Game.

[Patrick Mahomes](https://theathletic.com/nfl/player/patrick-mahomes-WWwiw0IQD5ozgrHf/) and the Chiefs offense. Prior to Cincinnati, Taylor was the quarterbacks coach with the Chiefs coach Andy Reid is in his ninth conference championship game and fifth in a row with the Chiefs. [Jacksonville Jaguars](https://theathletic.com/nfl/team/jaguars/) 27-17 in the divisional round. Mahomes isn’t on the injury report heading into Sunday, which means he’ll be looking to extend plays with his feet for some highlight-reel throws and runs. One of his touchdown passes came in the second half after coming back into the game, Against the Jaguars in the divisional round, Mahomes went 26-for-35, throwing 331 passing yards and four touchdowns. [35 percent of pass plays](https://twitter.com/NextGenStats/status/1487934888665776130?s=20&t=dBpuYx1mWRILWluXM-RtGw). The Bengals and Chiefs played in just one playoff game in their historical series. That was the 2021 AFC Championship Game, which the Bengals won 27-24 in overtime. The Chiefs hosted the first matchup of this series on Oct. It is available on CBS (TV) and Paramount+ (stream).

These Chiefs vs. Bengals betting strategies will help you spread your risk out over multiple likely outcomes and increase your odds of a profit.

If the highest odds came in (Chiefs 7-12), you would win $650 with a $350 profit. Bengals betting strategies — especially when aided by a model like the Behavior Bets model. If the lowest odds hit (Bengals 1-6 +285), you would win $385 with an $85 profit. This is not risk-free, but it is low-risk when applying these Chiefs vs. Bengals betting strategies, I selected three of the most likely margins of victory my model projected and placed bets on each of them to help spread the risk out. I added one more to account for the real possibility of a Bengals win. The Chiefs are projected to win, according to my model, by three points. Note that even the books have one of these teams winning by less than a touchdown as the two most likely outcomes. On top of that, the Chiefs have never beaten Joe Burrow, and the team’s current streak of three straight losses to Cincinnati is currently its longest against any franchise. For these Chiefs vs. Bettors like me may feel the game will, in fact, be an upset victory for the Chiefs but are hamstrung by their head which tells them that Mahomes’ ankle is a big deal and that Joe Cool has had KC’s number. [Behavior Bets betting model](https://www.profootballnetwork.com/sports-betting-models-how-behavior-analysis-can-help/) has found good value using these [Kansas City Chiefs](https://www.profootballnetwork.com/kansas-city-chiefs/) vs.

We make a pick for the over/under as the Bengals face the Chiefs in the AFC Championship round of the 2023 NFL Playoffs.

At the end of the day, there is too much talent on display for both teams to envision a low-scoring game. Last year’s AFC Championship game was a thriller that resulted in a combined total of 65 points. Seven of the Chiefs’ home games this year have finished under, while six of the Bengals’ 10 road games have finished with the same result.

The Kansas City Chiefs host the Cincinnati Bengals in the 2022 AFC Champions Game on Sunday, with a place at Super Bowl LVII at stake.

For the third time in 35 years, the AFC Championship Game from the previous year will be repeated. Between the regular season and the playoffs, the Chiefs and Bengals have met 32 times. The 2022 AFC Championship Game at Arrowhead Stadium will begin at 6:30pm ET and

At one point in his life, Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow might have actually pulled for the Kansas City Chiefs.

At one point in his life, Bengals quarterback [Joe Burrow](https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl/2023/01/26/joe-burrow-bengals-go-for-4-0-vs-kc-in-afc-title-rematch/51226627/) might have actually pulled for the Chiefs. that featured a young Joe Burrow in a Chiefs shirt. Geaux Bengals ." "Not anymore . But he is Houdini.](https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl/columnist/bell/2023/01/26/patrick-mahomes-challenges-chiefs-bengals-beyond-sprained-ankle-burrow/11129533002/) [Cincinnati Bengals](https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl/2023/01/28/bengals-powered-by-3-young-stars-burrow-chase-higgins/51232225/) and [Kansas City Chiefs](https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl/chiefs/2023/01/21/patrick-mahomes-leg-injury-chiefs-jaguars-playoff-game/11098266002/) are playing for the [AFC Championship ](https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl/2023/01/28/chiefs-vs-bengals-afc-championship-three-keys-sundays-game/11111201002/)on Sunday.

NFL picks and NFL predictions for Kansas City vs. Cincinnati in the 2023 NFL playoffs.

[Visit Paramount+ now to stream your live local CBS sporting events, including the NFL, SEC on CBS, and so much more](https://www.paramountplus.com/?cbscidmt=nfl&promo=PLAYOFFS&ftag=PPM-22-10ahe7j). [streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Premium plan, which you can try free for 30 days with the promo code PLAYOFFS](https://www.paramountplus.com/?cbscidmt=nfl&promo=PLAYOFFS&ftag=PPM-22-10ahe7j) (expires 1/31/23). [You can try Paramount+ free for 30 days with the promo code PLAYOFFS, so sign up now here](https://www.paramountplus.com/?cbscidmt=nfl&promo=PLAYOFFS&ftag=PPM-22-10ahe7j). [Cincinnati Bengals](https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/teams/CIN/cincinnati-bengals/) and [Kansas City Chiefs](https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/teams/KC/kansas-city-chiefs/) on CBS and [Paramount+](https://www.paramountplus.com/?cbscidmt=nfl&promo=PLAYOFFS&ftag=PPM-22-10ahe7j) this Sunday begins with the continuation of one of the top conference rivalries in the [NFL](/nfl/). With Mahomes' injury in mind, the model confidently backs the Under (48 and has it hitting well over 50% of the time. You can watch the game on CBS and stream it on [Paramount+](https://www.paramountplus.com/?cbscidmt=nfl&promo=PLAYOFFS&ftag=PPM-22-10ahe7j). [Paramount+](https://www.paramountplus.com/?cbscidmt=nfl&promo=PLAYOFFS&ftag=PPM-22-10ahe7j) now has levels of membership so you can [watch your local NFL on CBS matchups and much more](https://www.paramountplus.com/?cbscidmt=nfl&promo=PLAYOFFS&ftag=PPM-22-10ahe7j). Chiefs, the model is backing the Under. It is also on a 16-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of this season. Chiefs odds, and the over/under for total points is 48. - Bengals vs. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Chiefs as 1.5-point favorites in the latest Bengals vs.

Further muddying Sunday's game is the odd injury saga of Chiefs stars Mahomes and tight end Travis Kelce. Mahomes had a brutal-looking ankle injury in the ...

The quarterback with the ball last wins. Quietly, DJ Reader and the Bengals defensive line needs to have one of its best games of the season too. Don’t forget the running game looks as good as it has all year and the Chiefs just don’t have an answer for Chase, who over the course of 3-0 has 24 catches on 29 targets for 417 yards and four touchdowns. If there’s something worth highlighting for the Bengals (besides missing Mixon and tight end Hayden Hurst for most of the Week 13 win), it’s that they don’t blink no matter how big the stage. It feels like the Bengals aren’t the scrappy underdog anymore. Or go with the drop-eight coverage that flustered Mahomes in the past and force him to make a play? It doesn’t hurt that Joe Mixon looks perhaps the healthiest he had all season and the ground game is very productive right now. None of the above much matters if the trench battles swing the wrong way. But that goes the other way, too. Further muddying Sunday’s game is the odd injury saga of Chiefs stars Mahomes and tight end Travis Kelce. Bengals defensive coordinator Lou Anarumo has pestered likely MVP Patrick Mahomes just enough to get wins, while the Chiefs have tried a variety of different things to slow Ja’Marr Chase. The Bengals have won all three, albeit each came by just three points and required clutch plays late.

R.J. White revealed his picks and predictions for Kansas City vs Cincinnati in the AFC Championship Game of NFL playoffs 2023.

[See which team to pick here](https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/2023-nfl-playoffs-bengals-vs-chiefs-line-odds-prediction-and-pick-for-the-afc-championship-game-matchup-from-cincinnati-expert/#ttag=01262023_agg_cbssports_picks_football_nfl_rjwhite_BengalsChiefsExpert). [Joe Mixon](/nfl/players/2131143/joe-mixon/) is coming off his second 100-yard rushing performance of the year, carrying 20 times for 105 yards (5.3 average) and one touchdown in the win over the [Bills](https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/teams/BUF/buffalo-bills/). Chiefs](https://www.sportsline.com/nfl/game-forecast/NFL_20230129_CIN@KC/) and just locked in his picks and NFL playoff predictions. Here are the [NFL odds](https://www.sportsline.com/nfl/odds/) and betting lines for Bengals vs. [Isiah Pacheco](/nfl/players/2966551/isiah-pacheco/) took some of the pressure off Mahomes by carrying 12 times for 95 yards (7.9 average) and three first-down conversions. During the regular season, Pacheco led the Chiefs in rushing, carrying 170 times for 830 yards (4.9 average) and five touchdowns. [You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks](https://www.sportsline.com/insiders/2023-nfl-playoffs-bengals-vs-chiefs-line-odds-prediction-and-pick-for-the-afc-championship-game-matchup-from-cincinnati-expert/#ttag=01262023_agg_cbssports_picks_football_nfl_rjwhite_BengalsChiefsExpert). During the regular season, Mahomes completed 435 of 648 attempts (67.1%) for 5,250 yards and 41 touchdowns. [Cincinnati Bengals](https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/teams/CIN/cincinnati-bengals/) take on the [Kansas City Chiefs](https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/teams/KC/kansas-city-chiefs/) in the 2023 AFC Championship Game on Sunday. In the first meeting against the Chiefs in December, Burrow threw for 286 yards on 25 of 31 passing (80.7%) and two touchdowns. [NFL](/nfl/) playoff predictions, [make sure you check out what SportsLine's resident Bengals expert, R.J. The Bengals (14-4), who have won 10 games in a row, are coming off a 27-10 win at Buffalo in last week's Divisional Round victory.

NFL picks and NFL predictions for Kansas City vs. Cincinnati in the 2023 NFL playoffs.

[Visit Paramount+ now to stream your live local CBS sporting events, including the NFL, SEC on CBS, and so much more](https://www.paramountplus.com/?cbscidmt=nfl&promo=PLAYOFFS&ftag=PPM-22-10ahe7j). [streamed live on Paramount+ with their must-have Premium plan, which you can try free for 30 days with the promo code PLAYOFFS](https://www.paramountplus.com/?cbscidmt=nfl&promo=PLAYOFFS&ftag=PPM-22-10ahe7j) (expires 1/31/23). [You can try Paramount+ free for 30 days with the promo code PLAYOFFS, so sign up now here](https://www.paramountplus.com/?cbscidmt=nfl&promo=PLAYOFFS&ftag=PPM-22-10ahe7j). [Cincinnati Bengals](https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/teams/CIN/cincinnati-bengals/) and [Kansas City Chiefs](https://www.cbssports.com/nfl/teams/KC/kansas-city-chiefs/) on CBS and [Paramount+](https://www.paramountplus.com/?cbscidmt=nfl&promo=PLAYOFFS&ftag=PPM-22-10ahe7j) this Sunday begins with the continuation of one of the top conference rivalries in the [NFL](/nfl/). With Mahomes' injury in mind, the model confidently backs the Under (48 and has it hitting well over 50% of the time. You can watch the game on CBS and stream it on [Paramount+](https://www.paramountplus.com/?cbscidmt=nfl&promo=PLAYOFFS&ftag=PPM-22-10ahe7j). [Paramount+](https://www.paramountplus.com/?cbscidmt=nfl&promo=PLAYOFFS&ftag=PPM-22-10ahe7j) now has levels of membership so you can [watch your local NFL on CBS matchups and much more](https://www.paramountplus.com/?cbscidmt=nfl&promo=PLAYOFFS&ftag=PPM-22-10ahe7j). Chiefs, the model is backing the Under. It is also on a 16-6 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of this season. Chiefs odds, and the over/under for total points is 48. - Bengals vs. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Chiefs as 1.5-point favorites in the latest Bengals vs.

Predictions and previews for the Kansas City Chiefs taking on the Cincinnati Bengals in the AFC Championship Game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium on ...

Steve Spagnuolo and the defensive players will have to play their best game of the season for them to slow down the Bengals enough to win. [Conner Christopherson:](https://twitter.com/Conner_DKC) The Chiefs will eventually beat the Bengals, but I don't think it will be this year. [Marlow Ferguson Jr.:](https://www.si.com/nfl/chiefs/author/marlow-ferguson-jr) Despite it being a real possibility, it’s just incredibly difficult to imagine any team defeating this iteration of the Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes-led Chiefs four times out of four, particularly with three of the four at home. Mahomes will be able to overcome whatever the Bengals throw at him and he will show the world why he is the NFL MVP. Andy Reid will have a masterful offensive gameplan, and you get the feeling Mahomes will not let them lose a second consecutive AFC Championship Game at home. Mahomes will be absolutely dialed in and play at an all-time level as he leads the Chiefs to their third Super Bowl in four years. This version of the Bengals is the only team to truly have the edge over the Patrick Mahomes-led Chiefs. The Bengals have won three in a row against the Chiefs, so it’s tough to say those were flukey wins despite some very strange things that took place. [Jordan Foote:](https://twitter.com/footenoted) The Chiefs showed in Week 13 — as well as in their other two matchups against the Bengals — that they're more than capable of hanging with Cincinnati. The rematch we’ve waited nearly a year to see. [Patrick Mahomes's ankle and Travis Kelce's back](https://www.si.com/nfl/chiefs/news/final-kc-chiefs-injury-updates-before-afc-championship-game-against-cincinnati-bengals), the Kansas City Chiefs and Cincinnati Bengals approach kickoff with a chance to punch their ticket to Super Bowl LVII. However, with recent growth from the Chiefs’ defense and the potential for an all-time gameplan from Andy Reid and Co., the case for KC isn’t hard to make.

While Kansas City is hosting the game for the fifth consecutive year, the Chiefs have had to fight for their status as favorites. With Patrick Mahomes battling ...

ET (5:30 p.m. - Time: 6:30 p.m. The AFC championship game between the Bengals and Chiefs will kick off at 6:30 p.m. [DAZN](https://prf.hn/click/camref:1100lfPvV)(Canada) — The Bengals will start with the ball. — A false start backs the Bengals up on third down. — The Chiefs are rolling right now. INTERCEPTION — Burrow is picked off by Jaylen Watson, and the Chiefs will start with strong field position. — The Chiefs' defense had a big opportunity on third down, but a designed run up the middle by Burrow gives the Bengals a first down and more. TOUCHDOWN — Mahomes fits it in a tight window and finds Valdes-Scantling on the ground in the end zone. — The Chiefs are back to 3rd & 9. — The Chiefs are called for holding, and the Bengals accept it after deliberating.

Here's how to watch the Cincinnati Bengals take on the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship.

xid:fr1674832932624ehd), [Paramount+](https://go.skimresources.com/?id=126006X1587340&xs=1&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.paramountplus.com%2F%3Fintcid%3DCIA-16-10bah4e&xcust=xid:fr1674833477224dbc) or [DirecTV Stream](https://go.skimresources.com/?id=126006X1587340&xs=1&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.directv.com%2Fstream%2F&xcust=xid:fr1674161353507ebb [the Bengals came into a snowstorm](https://www.instagram.com/p/CnvJIWAruZp/) and dominated the second-seeded Bills. [Paramount+](https://go.skimresources.com/?id=126006X1587340&xs=1&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.paramountplus.com%2F%3Fintcid%3DCIA-16-10bah4e&xcust=xid:fr1674833477224dbc) The NFL had decided on the first-of-its-kind, neutral-site conference championship because the Bills (13-3) finished the season a half-game behind the Chiefs (14-3) after their game at Cincinnati was canceled on Jan. The Bengals are red hot as they head into the [AFC Championship](https://www.masslive.com/betting/2023/01/5-bets-to-make-for-afc-nfc-championship-games.html) against the [Kansas City Chiefs](https://www.masslive.com/sports/2023/01/kansas-city-chiefs-gear-where-to-buy-jerseys-hats-and-more-ahead-of-afc-championship.html). [DirecTV Stream](https://go.skimresources.com/?id=126006X1587340&xs=1&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.directv.com%2Fstream%2F&xcust=xid:fr1674161353507eai [Patrick Mahomes](https://www.masslive.com/patriots/2023/01/patrick-mahomes-injury-chiefs-coach-gives-update-on-qbs-availability-in-practice.html) suffered a high ankle sprain in their playoff win over the Jacksonville Jaguars last weekend. [Sling](https://go.skimresources.com/?id=126006X1587340&xs=1&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.sling.com%2F&xcust=xid:fr1674161353507bef The league began selling tickets for a possible game in Atlanta that was dependent on the Bills and Chiefs winning last weekend. [fuboTV](https://www.fubo.tv/lp/ent/?irad=356360&irmp=1810038&subId3=xid:fr1669069677227gfa Fans can also watch every NFL [playoff game for free](https://www.masslive.com/patriots/2023/01/patriots-vs-bills-free-live-stream-start-time-tv-how-to-watch-week-18-game.html) this weekend by signing up for a trial of [fuboTV](https://www.fubo.tv/lp/football/?bgvideo=nfl.mp4&title=Live%20Football.%20Stream%20and%20DVR.&priceline=*Regional%20and%20mobile%20restrictions%20apply&cta=Get%207-Day%20Free%20Trial%20Now&irad=356362&irmp=1810038&subId3=xid:fr1669069677227jjd [Cincinnati Bengals](https://www.masslive.com/betting/2023/01/5-bets-to-make-for-afc-nfc-championship-games.html) felt disrespected last week heading into Buffalo.

We have a rematch of last year's AFC Championship game on hand, as the red-hot Cincinnati Bengals visit the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium.

Click here to back our best bet at DraftKings Sportsbook. All three of the recent Bengals-Chiefs matchups have cleared 51 total points. A changed Chiefs gameplan still will be a great Chiefs gameplan. Their task will only get tougher against a Chiefs offensive line that only allowed 26 sacks during the regular season, the fewest in the AFC and 3rd-lowest in the NFL. Last week, they dominated the Bills at hostile Highmark Stadium, racking up 27 points and 412 yards of total offense. The Bengals had only 30 total sacks as a team during the regular season, 2nd-worst in the AFC. The Chiefs boast the league’s highest-scoring offense, averaging a whopping 29.2 points per game during the regular season. If you don’t have a DraftKings account yet, [sign up through this link](https://offers.alarmsports.com/redirects/v1/offers/affiliate/dk/?tags=evergreen) and you’ll automatically be enrolled in their “Bet $5, Get $200 instantly” signup bonus promotion. You could argue they’re led by the two best quarterbacks in the NFL, too. With a win, they’ll advance to the Super Bowl and be another step closer to cementing their status as a legitimate dynasty. . Outside of their postponed matchup with Buffalo, Cincinnati has won 10 consecutive games and 12 of its last 13 overall. Bengals vs.

The Kansas City Chiefs take on Cincinnati Bengals in the AFC championship game Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET on CBS. Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs have hosted an ...

On top of beating the Chiefs three straight times, the Bengals are a perfect 3-0 in AFC championship games. Mahomes (ankle) was a full participant in practice all week and is slated to start Sunday. The forecast was for the wind-chill factor to dip to 0 degrees by the end of the game. He was ruled out for the rest of the game shortly before halftime. ] [The game quickly spiraled out of control for the 49ers when quarterback Brock Purdy ] [suffered an elbow injury](https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/nfl/niners/2023/01/29/brock-purdy-49-ers-qb-elbow-injury/11146329002/) in the first quarter. [Eagles advance to Super Bowl] [The Eagles defeated the San Francisco 49ers 31-7 in the NFC championship game. Philadelphia outperformed San Francisco in all phases of the game. In another sense, there's still a victory in there for the Bengals. “I talked to Tom (Brady) a little bit. Bengals receiver Tyler Boyd, who extended the drive with two catches on the drive, appeared to be injured following his second catch. The Bengals defense forced Kansas City to go 1 of 5 on third downs. Kansas City’s defense sacked quarterback Joe Burrow four times in the first half.

The NFL playoffs continue Sunday with the Bengals battling the Chiefs in the AFC Championship Game. Here are the highlights!

[Jerick McKinnon](https://www.foxsports.com/nfl/jerick-mckinnon-player). But with Joe Burrow, anything is possible](https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/bengals-werent-expected-to-be-here-but-with-joe-burrow-anything-is-possible) [Inside Patrick Mahomes' ankle injury, outlook for AFC title game](https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/inside-patrick-mahomes-ankle-injury-outlook-for-afc-title-game) [Joe Burrow's path to unseating Patrick Mahomes as NFL's QB1](https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/joe-burrows-complicated-path-to-unseating-patrick-mahomes-as-nfls-top-qb) [Lessons NFL team-builders can learn from Eagles, 49ers, Bengals, Chiefs](https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/lessons-nfl-team-builders-can-learn-from-eagles-49ers-bengals-chiefs) [NFL odds: Betting edges on 49ers-Eagles, Bengals-Chiefs](https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/nfl-odds-betting-edges-on-49ers-eagles-bengals-chiefs) [AFC Championship Game odds: How to bet Bengals-Chiefs](https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/afc-championship-game-odds-how-to-bet-bengals-chiefs) [2023 NFL coaching tracker: News, rumors, interviews](https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/nfl-coaching-tracker-news-rumors-interviews) [ National Football League](/stories/nfl/nfl-coaching-tracker-news-rumors-interviews) [Willie Gay](https://www.foxsports.com/nfl/willie-gay-player) came up with the second on second down to make it third-and-18. Eagles highlights: Philly dominates in NFC Championship Game](https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/49ers-vs-eagles-live-updates-nfc-championship-game-on-fox) [AFC's best clash for trip to Super Bowl: Analyzing Bengals-Chiefs showdown](https://www.foxsports.com/stories/nfl/afcs-best-clash-for-trip-to-super-bowl-analyzing-bengals-chiefs-showdown) [Bengals weren't expected to be here. ET on FOX and the FOX Sports App), where they'll face the [Philadelphia Eagles](https://www.foxsports.com/nfl/philadelphia-eagles-team), which took down the [San Francisco 49ers](https://www.foxsports.com/nfl/san-francisco-49ers-team), [31-7](https://www.foxsports.com/nfl/nfc-conference-championships-san-francisco-49ers-vs-philadelphia-eagles-jan-29-2023-game-boxscore-10031), in the NFC title game earlier on FOX. [Isiah Pacheco](https://www.foxsports.com/nfl/isaih-pacheco-player) made his way into the end zone a few plays later, but the touchdown was wiped off the board due to a holding penalty. The Chiefs opted to go for it on fourth-and-short and the decision paid off. [Super Bowl LVII](https://foxsports.com/nfl/super-bowl/) in Arizona (Feb. The Chiefs were moving the ball down the field again on their second drive of the game. The Chiefs were able to get three points on the drive though, as It didn't appear to bother him on Kansas City's opening drive, however, as he made a grab and fought for 16 yards on the Chiefs' third play of the game. However, he wasn't able to secure the grab as he hit the ground, making it an incomplete pass.

For Cincinnati, here is who will sit out today. QB Jake Browning; RB Chris Evans; DE Jeff Gunter; CB Jalen Davis; DT Jay Tufele; LT Jonah Williams; LG Alex ...

- DE Malik Herring - DE Joshua Kaindoh - DE Jeff Gunter

Here are the lists of inactive players for both the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs before the AFC Championship Game.

- Malik Herring, DL The Chiefs also added Jody Fortson to the active roster on Saturday so there’s at least one new weapon for Patrick Mahomes to consider as Blake Bell officially sits out. For most of Chiefs Kingdom, it feels like it’s been weeks instead of days between NFL playoff games, but with so much hype and so many incredible storylines, the anticipation is overwhelming.

A rematch of last year's AFC Championship is on deck tonight, as the Chiefs and Bengals meet again in the conference title game in 2023.

Yes No — The AFC Championship between the Bengals vs. Chiefs will air on CBS. Chiefs game will kick off at 6:30 p.m. The game will be played at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City, Mo. ET (5:30 p.m. - Time: 6:30 p.m. Joe Mixon added 105 yards on the ground with a rushing TD as well. Chad Henne briefly took over in the second quarter, leading the Chiefs on a 98-yard drive capped off with a Travis Kelce touchdown. The Chiefs are looking to finally get the better of Bengals QB Joe Burrow, who is 3-0 against Kansas City in his career.