The shares of Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL) are 2.5% higher today, last seen trading at $132.90, following news that the company's iPhone exports from India ...
A longer-term look shows AAPL sports a 50-day put/call volume ratio of 1.09 that stands above 85% of readings from the past 12 months. The most popular position was the weekly 1/6 125-strike put, followed by the weekly 1/6 130-strike call. Apple stock still sports a 22.7% year-over-year deficit at $145.45.
On a good day for tech stocks, Bloomberg hinted that Apple's new AR/VR headset will be released in the next couple of months.
Whether that is cheap enough to be considered a bargain for Apple stock remains to be seen, and it may depend on how bad an upcoming recession will be -- if we even have one. Most recently, the company sought to release the headset in January, but it looks as though a final delay will put the headset launch sometime midyear. Today, Bloomberg reported that Apple now plans to launch its first headset this spring, just before its Worldwide Developers Conference in June.
Apple tumbled around 30% of its all-time-high market on March 30, 2022 during the ongoing bear market. See why I'm bearish on AAPL stock.
In terms of Price/Cash flow multiple, I have chosen a multiple of 10.40 for the last FCF, which represents the 5-year average of the years 2013-2017 and is approximately half of the current 5-year valuation of 19.28 (2018-2022), according to [Morningstar](https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/xnas/aapl/valuation). Nevertheless, analysts' consensus predict EPS growth of just 1.5% in FY 2023, 9.3% in FY 2024 and 6% in FY 2025, according to [MarketScreener](https://www.marketscreener.com/quote/stock/APPLE-INC-4849/financials/). Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. In order to choose a conservative approach, I have chosen a growth rate of 5% per year in terms of EPS growth. Currently, Apple is exposed to further downward pressure, unless the macroeconomic environment and the central banks' rapid monetary tightening loosen up. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Additionally, analysts' consensus predict FCF decline of 8% in FY 2023 and FCF growth of 10% in FY 2024, according to I prepared two valuation models in order to make a more accurate assessment of the valuation. Other factors favoring a conservative approach include the uncertain macroeconomic and political environment and rising recession risks, which have probably not yet been fully priced in. In the second valuation method the fair value is $88,53, which corresponds to an overvaluation of the stock of 32% (see figure below). In terms of P/E multiple, I have chosen a multiple of 14.99 for calculating the terminal value, which represents the 5-year average of the years 2013-2017 and is well below the current 5-year valuation of 24.2 (2018-2022), according to In the first valuation method based on a DCF calculation, the fair value is $83.03, which corresponds to a current overvaluation of the stock of 36% (see figure below).
Apple Inc (AAPL) receives a strong valuation ranking of 66 from Investors.
The market is currently overvaluing AAPL in relation to its projected growth due to the PEG ratio being above the fair market value of 1. SummaryAAPL' has a weak valuation at its current share price on account of a overvalued PEG ratio despite strong growth. AAPL is a poor value at its current trading price as investors are paying more than what its worth in relation to the company's earnings. [AAPL](https://www.investorsobserver.com/symbols/aapl)) receives a strong [valuation](https://www.investorsobserver.com/learning-center/what-the-scores-mean/what-is-the-valuation-score) ranking of 66 from InvestorsObserver data analysis. [PE](https://www.investorsobserver.com/learning-center/stock-basics/what-is-a-p-e-ratio)) ratio of 20.7 puts it above the historical average of roughly 15. Investors primarily focused on buy-and-hold strategies will find the valuation ranking relevant to their goals when making investment decisions.
In Apple's case, I zoom in on three that I find particularly interesting: gross margin, cash position, and inventory levels. What do these three trends tell ...
You kind of want to manage it like you're in the dairy business. Relative to Appleโs cost of goods and services, the company had minimal quantities of inventory on hand: only 2.2% of COGS in fiscal 2022. The author may be long one or more stocks mentioned in this report. It is possible that the shift has helped to improve margins. The ratio is minuscule. This was only possible due to a heavy inflow of cash from operations, which reached $122 billion last year. The next graph shows a trend that could be perceived as negative. And to be fair, Apple has grown its revenues by a respectable annualized rate of 15% over the past three years. In the case of Apple, there isnโt one single driver than explains a jump from 37.8% in fiscal 2019 to 43.3% last year. - Apple has become much more dependent on its services segment. Today, the iPhone 14 Pro Max goes for as much as $1,600. But more importantly, the figure has climbed consistently since at least 2019, as the chart below shows.