Justin Herbert

The Dolphins made the Chargers' decision easier by selecting Tagovailoa fifth overall.

Herbert, though he has 480 more passing yards, has one fewer touchdown pass and two more interceptions, and he will need to work some late-season magic to bring his team to the playoffs. His standout campaign has done plenty to justify his being selected over Herbert. In 2020, he started nine games (10 appearances) and completed 64.1 percent of his passes for 1,814 yards, 11 touchdowns and five interceptions. "He fit a lot of the criteria we talk about at the quarterback position," Flores said. We spent time with both players and at the end of the day, we chose Tua and we feel he'll be a good player in the league. Then-Dolphins coach Brian Flores agreed with Grier, praising the traits he felt made Tagovailoa a fit. [per Stathead](https://stathead.com/tiny/zLHSr). That made Tagovailoa the second quarterback off the board. Love wound up being the fourth quarterback drafted, going 26th overall to the Packers — a full 27 picks before 2022 MVP candidate Jalen Hurts. He earned praise for his precision, accuracy, decision-making and effective mobility. The decision by Miami has been second-guessed plenty. Back in 2020, the Dolphins picked Alabama quarterback Tua Tagovailoa fifth overall.

Just three years into his NFL career, Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert has already won Offensive Rookie of the Year and made a Pro Bowl.

Taking all this into account, the inevitable Justin Herbert contract extension should happen in one of the next two offseasons. The deal will likely be somewhere in the neighborhood of $40-$50 million per year for four to six seasons. In the final year of the deal next season, Herbert’s cap hit will be $8,456,877 as a result of his $4,234,376 base salary and $4,222,501 prorated signing bonus. A fifth-year option is an automatic extra year a team can add to a first-round picks rookie deal that lets the team keep its player at a predetermined dollar figure. During the next two offseason, the Chargers’ No. One of those moves is to offer Herbert a massive contract extension. There are several things the Chargers can do to keep him in LA for 2024 and beyond, though. He still has a sub-.500 record as a starter (21-23), but that is more a function of the coaches and players (and [player injuries](https://www.sportscasting.com/justin-herbert-chargers-get-shocking-injury-update-that-could-save-season/)) around him than a referendum on him as a QB. [quarterback](https://www.sportscasting.com/tag/nfl-quarterback/) Justin Herbert has already won Offensive Rookie of the Year and made a Pro Bowl. Despite these numbers, Herbert’s height (6-foot-6) and laid-back personality gave NFL front offices pause during the pre-draft process. Herbert played in 43 games over three seasons for the Ducks, putting up 10,541 passing yards, 95 touchdowns, and 23 interceptions. Ultimately, this led to the LA Chargers taking Herbert No.

Tuanon comes to primetime in our Underdog Fantasy quarterback matchup for Week 14. Tua could be the better play over Justin Herbert.

Underdog is potting him 7.5 yards in this matchup, and that margin, according to the model, could be multiples more than that. In fact, Herbert has thrown for more than 300 yards just three times in the entire season. The Behavior Bets model projects him to throw for lower than that when accounting for the Week 14 environment impacted by the Dolphins’ defense. Tua leads the league in that same time frame in passing yards per minute of possession time at 10.77 yards per minute. The Underdog Pick ‘Em Rivals game is where we see the true head-to-head action of Tua Tagovailoa vs. When we run this and other data inside of the Behavior Bets model, Tua is projected to throw for less than 285 yards — but only slightly, at 284 yards. The Chargers only give up 7.4 yards per minute of possession to opposing quarterbacks. I’m taking the lower, but I expect him to be right around that 285 number. Tagovailoa leads an offense that is second in the league in points scored per minute of possession over the last six weeks, averaging 0.92 points per minute. Even in the loss to the 49ers, in just over 19 minutes of possession time, he threw for 15 yards per minute. With Mike McDaniel, however, Tua is putting up some of the best statistics in the entire NFL. However, that doesn’t mean we can’t still find a way to get them going head to head and win some money in the process in our