Hurricane Florida

The system does not yet have a name, but the National Hurricane Center declared that a tropical depression, the precursor to a tropical storm, formed Friday ...

In Florida, there is "the potential for significant impacts from storm surge, hurricane-force winds, and heavy rainfall." Floridians should remain vigilant and ...

[National Hurricane Center](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/) said the system is expected to hit Cuba early next week as a hurricane and then Florida on Wednesday. Ron DeSantis](https://twitter.com/GovRonDeSantis/status/1573303768346763265) tweeted Friday that "while the eventual track of TD9 is uncertain, Floridians should remain vigilant and ensure their households are prepared for a potential impact." The system will almost certainly be named Ian, which is the next name on the list of storm names that's been established by the World Meteorological Organization. Tropical Storm Hermine (pronounced Her-MEEN) formed Friday afternoon off the coast of Africa, so that name has been taken. DeSantis declared a pre-landfall state of emergency late Friday afternoon for 24 counties that are at risk of being struck, AccuWeather reported. It becomes a hurricane once its winds reach 74 mph.

It is expected to strengthen into Tropical Storm Hermine by Friday night, followed by rapid intensification in the Caribbean, meteorologists said. The storm is ...

The categories, in order of increasing strength, are tropical depression, tropical storm and hurricane (categories 1 through 5). It's off the west coast of Africa and is expected to strengthen into a tropical storm. 10 being the peak of the season, according to federal forecasters. It's racing northeast at 35 mph and is expected to approach Nova Scotia later in the day. It's expected to have peak winds of 115 mph in the Gulf of Mexico, which would make it a Category 3 storm. Meteorologists are urging residents in the Florida Keys and the Florida peninsula to monitor the storm closely. It's expected to bring rain to the islands as it heads toward the Gulf of Mexico. The storm will have the potential for "significant" impacts from storm surge, hurricane-force winds and heavy rainfall. It is expected to strengthen into Tropical Storm Hermine by Friday night, followed by rapid intensification in the Caribbean, meteorologists said. Those will likely result in hazardous conditions across the coastal waters, especially about 20 nautical miles from shore, forecasters said. As of 1 p.m. Residents along Canada's Atlantic coast are bracing for Fiona, a Category 4 hurricane.

Eight days after leaving the coast of Africa, the tropical wave designated 98L finally developed, becoming Tropical Depression Nine (TD 9) in the ...

Much more concerning is the predicted west-to-east breadth of hurricane-force sustained winds of at least 74 mph (around 170 miles) and tropical-storm-force sustained winds of at least 39 mph (around 680 miles). A significant storm surge is likely near and just east of the landfall point, especially if landfall coincides with the Saturday-morning high tide. The storm will be slowing down near the time of landfall, which will intensify the rain and wind impacts. Beginning on Sunday morning, when TD 9 will be south of Jamaica, NHC predicted TD 9 to go from a tropical storm with 50 mph winds to a category 1 hurricane with 85 mph winds in 24 hours. As with Sandy, the impacts of Fiona will be essentially those of a hurricane, even if the formal classification changes in the hours before landfall, which is why Environment Canada has gone with hurricane warnings. EDT Friday](https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCPAT2+shtml/231147.shtml), Hurricane Fiona was charging northeast at 35 mph with top sustained winds of 130 mph, about 250 miles north of Bermuda, according to the National Hurricane Center (NHC). The threat to Florida is more murky, with most of the peninsula south of the Panhandle in the NHC 5-day cone of uncertainty. NHC currently has TD 9 topping out as a category 3 hurricane with 115 mph winds on Wednesday morning near the coast of southwestern Florida, but this forecast should be regarded as highly uncertain. In addition, TD 9 may be hampered at that time by an increase in wind shear, as an upper-level low to the west of Cuba brings a southerly flow of upper-level winds over the storm. [Satellite imagery](https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/sat/satlooper.php?region=98L&product=vis) and [Curacao radar](https://www.meteo.cw/rad_loop_ppi.php?Lang=Eng&St=TNCC&Sws=R11) on Friday afternoon showed TD 9 bringing heavy rain showers to the ABC Islands and to the north coast of South America, but struggling with high wind shear: The low-level center was exposed to view, and the system’s relatively scanty heavy thunderstorms were confined to the southwest side of the center. While TD 9 was experiencing hostile wind shear that was limiting it on Friday afternoon, it is expected to rapidly intensify into a hurricane this weekend, and will affect Jamaica, the Cayman Islands, Cuba, and Florida over the next five days. Continued high wind shear from Fiona’s upper-level outflow is expected to impede development of TD 9 through Saturday morning, and its close proximity to the coast of South America may also hinder it.

Officials are urging Floridians to use this weekend to prepare for an intense hurricane to strike.

The Canadian Hurricane Centre (CHC) [tweeted](https://eden.axios.com/editor/story/9cc16945-f13e-4c7e-b418-aa0014a9d599/) at 3am Friday that warnings were "in effect for what looks to be a historic storm for eastern Canada." [Biden admin to cover Hurricane Fiona recovery costs for next month](/2022/09/22/biden-admin-to-cover-hurricane-fiona-recovery-costs-for-next-month) early in the week. It could even set a national intensity record based on its minimum air pressure. [approved a major disaster declaration](https://www.axios.com/2022/09/22/biden-puerto-rico-disaster-declaration) for Puerto Rico and ordered federal aid to assist with recovery efforts. - NASA, for example, is slated launch its Space Launch System rocket from Cape Canaveral on Tuesday. [announced](https://www.facebook.com/watch/live/?ref=external&v=3245839882330893) Thursday that the federal government will cover 100% of costs for the next month as Puerto Rico recovers from [Hurricane Fiona](https://www.axios.com/2022/09/18/hurricane-fiona-flooding-power-grid-puerto-rico). [Deadly Hurricane Fiona lashes Bermuda ahead of expected Canada hit](/2022/09/23/hurricane-fiona-canada-bermuda) [Hurricane Fiona's](https://www.axios.com/2022/09/21/hurricane-fiona-strengthens-category-4-storm) powerful winds and heavy rains were pummeling Bermuda morning as the Category 4 storm brushed close to the Atlantic island en route to northeastern Canada on Friday morning. [dire predictions for this Atlantic hurricane season](https://www.axios.com/local/miami/2022/08/08/atlantic-hurricane-season-forecast)have not panned out in terms of storm activity, but that seems to be changing, fast. - A hurricane watch is in effect for the Cayman Islands, while a tropical storm watch is in effect for Jamaica. Maximum sustained winds were at 45 mph. - The differences between computer models concern the strength and placement of a dip in the jet stream, also known as a trough, forecast to develop across the Central and Eastern U.S.

Tropical Storm Ian formed out of the disturbance we have been following in the Caribbean Sea.

This is a time to know what you're going to do tomorrow and Monday if the storm is forecast to come your way. And how strong is the dip in the jet stream going to be that will try to scoop it up, to one degree or the other? Everybody there should stay in close touch with local officials as they navigate the difficult decisions that have to be made. The environmental pattern will steadily become more conducive for the system to organize and strengthen today, but Sunday and Monday pattern is forecast to be extremely supportive of hurricane development. It was only a Category 1 in Miami-Dade and a Category 2 in parts of Broward and Palm Beach Counties. Ian would be more inclined to go that way if the jet stream dip doesn't pick it up. Where and how strong is the storm going to be Sunday into Monday? If the storm tracks farther north, it will get there beyond the cone's time frame. Models that show the jet-stream dip extending far into the Gulf show the storm being pulled north and quickly arcing toward Florida. Between today and Monday, the storm will be moving across the Caribbean toward western Cuba. We also will, hopefully, see predictions for the dip in the jet stream more consistently simulated by the various computer forecast models. Tropical Storm Ian formed out of the disturbance we have been following in the Caribbean Sea.