CPI

2022 - 6 - 10

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Image courtesy of "advisorperspectives.com"

Consumer Price Index: May Headline at 8.58% (advisorperspectives.com)

The Bureau of Labor Statistics released the May Consumer Price Index data this morning. The year-over-year non-seasonally adjusted Headline CPI came in at ...

The all items index increased 8.6 percent for the 12 months ending May, the largest 12-month increase since the period ending December 1981. The energy index rose 34.6 percent over the last year, the largest 12-month increase since the period ending September 2005. In the wake of the Great Recession, two percent has been the Fed's target for core inflation. The food index rose 1.2 percent in May as the food at home index increased 1.4 percent. Over the last 12 months, the all items index increased 8.6 percent before seasonal adjustment. The indexes for medical care, household furnishings and operations, recreation, and apparel also increased in May.

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Image courtesy of "The Wall Street Journal"

Inflation Reaches 8.6% in May: CPI Live Updates (The Wall Street Journal)

Full coverage of the markets and U.S. consumer-price index for May.

Prices for used cars and trucks rose 1.8% in May from April, reversing three months of declines. May’s increase was driven by sharp rises in the prices for energy, which rose 34.6% from a year earlier, and groceries, which jumped 11.9% on the year. The Labor Department on Friday said that the consumer-price index increased 8.6% in May from the same month a year ago, marking its fastest pace since December 1981.

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Image courtesy of "CNBC"

Inflation rose 8.6% in May, highest since 1981 (CNBC)

Surging food, gas and energy prices all contributed to the gain, with fuel oil up 106.7% over the past year. Shelter costs, which comprise about one-third of ...

The paper asserts that the current inflation predicament is closer to the 1980s situation than it appears because of differences in the ways that CPI is computed then and now. With 75 basis points of interest rate rises already under its belt, markets widely expect the Fed to continue tightening policy through the year and possibly into 2023. ... I struggle to see how the Fed can back off." May's report likely solidifies the likelihood of multiple 50 basis point interest rate increases ahead. Real wages when accounting for inflation fell 0.6% in April, even though average hourly earnings rose 0.3%, according to a separate BLS release. The 5.5% 12-month gain is the most since February 1991. Excluding volatile food and energy prices, so-called core CPI was up 6%, slightly higher than the 5.9% estimate. New vehicle prices rose 1% in May. On a 12-month basis, real average hourly earnings were down 3%. Core inflation excluding food and energy rose 6%. Both were higher than expected. "Obviously, nothing is good in this report," said Julian Brigden, president of MI2 Partners, a global macroeconomic research firm. Friday's numbers dented hopes that inflation may have peaked and adds to fears that the U.S. economy is nearing a recession.

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Image courtesy of "Yahoo Finance"

Inflation hits 40-year high as CPI rises 8.6% in May (Yahoo Finance)

U.S. consumer prices accelerated in May to the highest since 1981, as Americans grapple with a surge in the cost of gas, food, and shelter, data showed ...

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Image courtesy of "MarketWatch"

Rising rents, gas and food prices push U.S. inflation to 40-year high ... (MarketWatch)

The increase in the consumer price index in May was more than triple the gain in the prior month. Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had forecast a ...

“U.S. inflation sped up in May, with nearly every item zooming higher, and another big core jump suggests the peak might be some ways off. The big worry on Wall Street is that inflation is shifting to services from goods. More bad news: Gas prices rose again in June and hit a record high. Either approach would be bad for the economy. The longer that goes on the more strain it will place on American households and hurt the economy. The central bank also risks inducing a recession in its effort to quell inflation. Speculation about a rate-hike “pause” in the fall looks farfetched. The last time inflation rose as rapidly was in 1981. Shelter costs account for a third or more of a typical household budget. Prices are likely to show another big increase in June. Gas prices have jumped again to record highs. Economists polled by The Wall Street Journal had forecast a 0.7% advance.

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Image courtesy of "WTVB News"

Instant view: U.S. May CPI rises on soaring gasoline, food prices (WTVB News)

NEW YORK (Reuters) - U.S. consumer prices accelerated in May as gasoline prices hit a record high and the cost of services rose further, suggesting th...

There’s very little good news in today’s inflation data, and it’s causing stocks another market sell off today.” “It likely cements a 50 basis point at least the next two to potentially the next three meetings with the highest inflation since 1981.” And a peak will just have to wait.””This does little to give the Fed cover to not be as aggressive. “Disposable income will be cut back and obviously it all point to recession. “While we don’t expect a recession this year and have been positioning accordingly, there is much to be concerned about in terms of higher interest rates, higher volatility, and lower liquidity. Many hopes for a peak are now dashed as the reality that higher energy prices continue to impact overall inflation. This likely suggests the Fed will continue to be quite hawkish to combat the seemingly never ending string of higher inflation that we continue to see.” Today’s consumer price index (CPI) numbers were even worse than expected with a 8.6% year-over-year increase, the highest of the entire year, and even core inflation came in higher than expected at 6.0% vs. “Inflation this past month was certainly hotter than expected and a reminder that inflation will be with us for longer than we previously expected. It’s not going to happen.” FOREX: The dollar index rose to a three-week high after the CPI data. The bear market is really about valuation so far because of rising bond yields. The consumer price index increased 1.0% last month after gaining 0.3% in April, the Labor Department said.

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Image courtesy of "Reuters"

Reactions: U.S. May CPI rises on soaring gasoline, food prices (Reuters)

U.S. consumer prices accelerated in May as gasoline prices hit a record high and the cost of services rose further, suggesting that the Federal Reserve ...

Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com "Disposable income will be cut back and obviously it all point to recession. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com The consumer price index increased 1.0% last month after gaining 0.3% in April, the Labor Department said. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com

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Image courtesy of "The New York Times"

Inflation Rises Again: May Consumer Price Index Report Updates (The New York Times)

The latest Consumer Price Index showed a re-acceleration in inflation, dashing hopes that price increases had peaked.

The World Bank expects the rate of global consumer price inflation to drop below 3 percent next year. By contrast, the organization partly blamed inflation in the United States on “ over-buoyant demand,” which is more responsive to tighter monetary policy. The question — and big uncertainty — is how much Fed action will be needed to bring inflation under control. Data from the index is also used to come up with the P.C.E. figures. Rents are climbing swiftly as Americans compete for a limited supply of apartments, restaurant bills are heading higher as food and labor costs rise, and airline tickets and hotel rooms cost more because people are eager to travel and because inputs like fuel and labor are more expensive. At the same time, the war in Ukraine is cutting into the world’s supply of food and fuel, pushing overall inflation higher and feeding into the cost of other products and services. Travelers can save more than $100 each on the cost of a domestic flight and hotel stay if they plan trips in late August rather than in June or July. The price of gasoline rose 4.1 percent in May over the previous month, bringing the increase from a year ago to 48.7 percent. The central bank is expected to raise its benchmark rate by half a percentage point next week, and then again in July. Polls consistently show voters rate inflation as the country’s top economic problem and expect it to worsen. Friday’s release of Consumer Price Index data from the Labor Department contradicted, at least for a month, some of the administration’s more optimistic predictions. Fed officials are watching for signs that inflation is cooling on a monthly basis as they try to guide price increases back down to their goal, but Friday’s report offered more reason for worry than comfort.

Statement by President Biden on Consumer Price Index (CPI) in ... (The White House)

Today's report underscores why I have made fighting inflation my top economic priority. While it is good to see critical “core” inflation moderating, it.

The United States is on track to produce a record amount of oil next year, and I am working with the industry to accelerate this output. I call on Congress to pass a bill to cut shipping costs this month, and get it to my desk, so we can lower the price of goods. Putin’s Price Hike hit hard in May here and around the world: high gas prices at the pump, energy, and food prices accounted for around half of the monthly price increases, and gas pump prices are up by $2 a gallon in many places since Russian troops began to threaten Ukraine. Even as we continue our work to defend freedom in Ukraine, we must do more—and quickly—to get prices down here in the United States.

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