Inflation

2022 - 4 - 12

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Image courtesy of "The New York Times"

Inflation Hits Fastest Pace Since 1981, at 8.5% Through March (The New York Times)

Gasoline weighed heavily in the increases, while prices moderated in several categories. Some economists say the overall rate may have peaked.

Businesses and consumers regularly say rapid inflation is disrupting their economic lives, and many are voicing concerns that it will not quickly evaporate. Policymakers are expected to make a half-point interest rate increase at their meeting in early May, and have indicated that they will soon begin to quickly shrink their bond holdings, a change that should reinforce higher rates and soften demand. After a long stretch of rapid inflation, America’s central bank is reacting, rather than waiting to see what happens next. And cheaper goods are not guaranteed. Wages are up sharply, pushing costs up for employers and potentially prompting them to lift prices. More fundamentally, March’s data showed that prices for some goods, including used cars and apparel, moderated or even fell — though the signal was somewhat inconsistent, with furniture prices rising sharply. In fact, several economists said March may be a high-water mark for overall inflation. But the news was not uniformly bad: A measure that strips out volatile food and fuel prices decelerated slightly from February as used car prices swooned. + + + Some economists say the overall rate may have peaked.

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Image courtesy of "Journal Record"

US inflation at 8.5%, highest since 1981 (Journal Record)

Inflation soared over the past year at its fastest pace in more than 40 years, with costs for food, gasoline, housing and other necessities squeezing ...

According to AAA, the average price of a gallon of gasoline – $4.10 – is up 43% from a year ago, though it has fallen back in the past couple of weeks. Airline fares, for instance, have soared an average of nearly 24% in the past 12 months. Even before Russia’s war further spurred price increases, robust consumer spending, steady pay raises and chronic supply shortages had sent U.S. consumer inflation to its highest level in four decades. The March inflation numbers were the first to capture the full surge in gasoline prices that followed Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24. Used-car prices have soared 35.3%, though they actually fell in February and March. Bedroom furniture is up 14.7%, men’s jackets suits and coats 14.5%. Grocery prices have jumped 10%, including 18% increases for both bacon and oranges. The Labor Department said Tuesday that its consumer price index jumped 8.5% in March from 12 months earlier, the sharpest year-over-year increase since December 1981.

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How soaring inflation forces stark choices on low-income Americans (Boise State Public Radio)

Inflation likely hit another 40-year high in March, with prices up more than 8% from a year ago. Rising prices are especially hard on low-income people, ...

"I love going to the art museums and thrift store shopping and just getting out," she said. "I usually go to see her three days out of the week. "I'm not making it to the end of the month anymore," she adds. "While all Americans are confronting higher prices, the burden is particularly great for households with more limited resources," Brainard said. The central bank started slowly, raising rates by a quarter percentage point. When the weather warms up, Kemp plans to plant a vegetable garden in hopes of defraying her food bill. "The $200 a month is now going into my gas tank." For Terrie Dean, it's the cost of housing that really stings. The increased gas prices can impact family ties. "It's just horrible with the gas," she says. "I don't understand what's going on. "You have to be a little more cautious in what you cook and things you make and things you buy," she says.

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Image courtesy of "The Wall Street Journal"

This Isn't Putin's Inflation (The Wall Street Journal)

Real average weekly earnings fell a striking $4.26 in March alone, and they've fallen nearly $18 during the Biden Presidency. If you want to know why Americans ...

You may cancel your subscription at anytime by calling Customer Service. The White House was right about the consumer-price index, which rose 1.2% in March, the highest monthly rise since the current inflation set in. But inflation didn’t wait to appear until the Ukraine invasion, and by now it will be hard to reduce.

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Image courtesy of "Forbes"

Covid-19 Related Inflation Surpasses 40 Year Record: How Long ... (Forbes)

Covid-19, the federal government, and the Federal Reserve have sparked the highest inflation rate in over 40 years. Read to learn more about how inflation ...

While the federal government and the fed are culpable, Covid-19 is the unknown variable. It will need coordination between the Federal Reserve and the federal government. Why? Because the fed seeks to remove itself from politics and the federal government leads with politics. In the meantime, the government will expand spending and raise taxes (at some point) while the fed will tighten. Is it President Biden? Is it the Federal Reserve? Is it government spending? Thus, the fed is changing its stance from an easy monetary policy to a tightening policy. In the past, democrats sought to put money in the hands of citizens through social programs. Demand: At the onset of the pandemic, the U.S. government, in an effort to prop up the economy, passed several pieces of legislation, resulting in a great deal of money in the hands of consumers and businesses. Some believe the fed is behind the curve today. This time, however, republicans put a great deal of money directly in the hands of consumers. From acquiring the needed materials to processing them for production, to shipping them to distribution centers to transporting goods to the retail outlet, to staffing the retail outlet, the pandemic has caused a major disruption. Some expect inflation will normalize in the coming months.

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Amazon adds 5% 'fuel and inflation surcharge' to seller fees (ABC News)

Amazon says it will add a 5% “fuel and inflation surcharge” to fees it charges third-party sellers who use the retailer's fulfillment services.

The online retailer said the new fees will apply to products ordered before April 28 but shipped and delivered after that date. Amazon competitors FedEx and UPS both have fuel surcharges. Amazon didn't immediately respond to a request for further details on the move.

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Image courtesy of "The New York Times"

Amazon Adds Fuel and Inflation Surcharge for Sellers (The New York Times)

The new surcharge is in addition to fee increases for sellers in November that went into effect in January.

Most items that customers buy off Amazon are sold by third-party sellers, who pay Amazon a referral fee for each sale and an additional fulfillment fee if they use Amazon’s warehousing and delivery services. Amazon had announced fee increases in November that went into effect in January. On Wednesday, it told sellers that was not enough. The new surcharge is in addition to fee increases for sellers in November that went into effect in January.

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Image courtesy of "The Wall Street Journal"

This Isn't Putin's Inflation (The Wall Street Journal)

Real average weekly earnings fell a striking $4.26 in March alone, and they've fallen nearly $18 during the Biden Presidency. If you want to know why Americans ...

You may cancel your subscription at anytime by calling Customer Service. The White House was right about the consumer-price index, which rose 1.2% in March, the highest monthly rise since the current inflation set in. But inflation didn’t wait to appear until the Ukraine invasion, and by now it will be hard to reduce.

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New inflation numbers ring alarms for Senate Democratic majority (The Hill)

A report by the Labor Department that inflation in March rose by 8.5 percent compared to a year ago is setting off new alarm among Democrats that their ...

“Inflation has already been so massive in the first three months of this year, there’s pretty much no way that we don’t end up with high inflation over the course of the year.” We invite you to join the discussion on Facebook and Twitter. “Instead of acting boldly, our elected leaders and the Federal Reserve continue to respond with half-measures and rhetorical failures searching for where to lay the blame.” “It’s whether you can sell the improvement,” he added. The surge in oil and other commodity prices drove up energy and food and transportation costs so I think you can connect the dots in this report to what’s going on in Russia and Ukraine,” said Mark Zandi, the chief economist of Moody’s Analytics. Core inflation rose 0.3 percent in March compared to February, below economists’ estimate of a 0.5 percent increase. The sale of such a high ethanol blend is usually prohibited during the summer to reduce smog. “These high inflation are due to two massive global supply shocks. “The wind is in their face.” This atmosphere for Republicans is better than it was in 1994,” he said at an event hosted by the Kentucky Chamber of Commerce. “Right now I’m very focused on the real pinch that people are feeling around rising costs, which is why I introduced my insulin bill, which will cap the cost of insulin. “Having been around a while, I can remember good years and bad years for us.

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Image courtesy of "Forbes"

Experts Believe Inflation May Have 'Peaked,' But Prices Will Remain ... (Forbes)

“Consumer inflation likely peaked in March as the Russian invasion caused a sharp spike in food and energy costs,” says Nationwide senior economist Ben Ayers, ...

Rising food and energy prices, reflecting the shock from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, accounted for most of the surge in prices last month. Economists from Bank of America predict that the central bank will raise interest rates by 0.50% three times this year, and while inflation may move lower from here, food prices in particular will “remain hot throughout the year.” The market gave up its earlier gains and turned negative later in the day, however, as nervous investors now brace for tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve. “Consumer inflation likely peaked in March as the Russian invasion caused a sharp spike in food and energy costs,” says Nationwide senior economist Ben Ayers, adding that while prices should “slowly fade from here,” they are likely to remain high through 2022 and into 2023. However, some believe that even with a small decline in the core reading last month, inflation could still surge higher—with food and shelter prices, in particular, expected to keep rising: “Make no mistake, these readings are still very high relative to recent history,” warns Bespoke Investment Group. Though consumer prices spiked 8.5% in the 12 months ending in March, core inflation—which excludes volatile food and energy prices—rose 0.3%, slightly lower than expected and leading some Wall Street experts to predict that inflation may have finally peaked.

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Image courtesy of "CNN"

UK inflation hits 30-year high of 7% (CNN)

British consumer price inflation leaped to its highest level in three decades last month, intensifying the pressure on embattled Prime Minister Boris ...

Broad-based price rises, ranging from vehicle fuel to food and furniture, were behind the increase. Retail price inflation — an older measure which the ONS says is inaccurate, but which is widely used in commercial contracts and to set interest payments on inflation-linked government bonds — rose to 9.0%, its highest since 1991. Households are facing the biggest cost-of-living squeeze since records began in the 1950s, according to Britain's budget forecasters, and the inflation overshoot is further bad news for the government too. Sunak — previously seen as a leading candidate to succeed Johnson as prime minister — has seen his popularity slide after a budget statement in March, which the public judged did too little to ease cost-of-living pressures. The month-on-month rise was the highest for the time of year since the Office for National Statistics' records began in 1988. The annual inflation rate climbed to 7.0% in March from 6.2% in February, its highest since March 1992 and by more than expected by most economists in a Reuters poll, official data showed on Wednesday.

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Image courtesy of "The Wall Street Journal"

This Isn't Putin's Inflation (The Wall Street Journal)

The price rises began long before Russia invaded Ukraine and will be hard to stop.

You may cancel your subscription at anytime by calling Customer Service. The White House was right about the consumer-price index, which rose 1.2% in March, the highest monthly rise since the current inflation set in. But inflation didn’t wait to appear until the Ukraine invasion, and by now it will be hard to reduce.

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Image courtesy of "The Guardian"

Inflation hits 7% in March as Britain's cost of living soars (The Guardian)

Latest rise in CPI measure is the highest in three decades, coming a month after it hit 6.2%

Official figures on Monday showed average pay growth failing to keep pace with the soaring cost of living. s by providing support worth around £22bn in this financial year, including for the most vulnerable through our household support fund,” he said. “The result will be even higher costs for businesses, and a deep squeeze in the cost of living for households.”

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Image courtesy of "The New York Times"

Inflation's 40-Year High (The New York Times)

The Federal Reserve aims for an inflation rate of roughly 2 percent a year, trying to strike a balance of high employment levels without runaway price increases. But inflation is running much higher right now, and is also greater in the U.S. than in Europe ...

“We wanted to shine a light on music you’re most likely not going to hear at your local symphony,” Zachary Woolfe, The Times’s classical music critic, told us. The latest edition explores a lesser-known area: Renaissance music. - Road rage killingsin the U.S. have exploded over the past year. At least one of the station’s security cameras wasn’t working, which has hampered the search, officials said. One positive hint, from yesterday’s report: The core inflation index, which measures prices excluding more volatile food and energy costs, increased at a slower rate in March than it did in previous months. “The Fed is very capable of bringing down inflation,” said Adam Ozimek, chief economist at the Economic Innovation Group. “That said, I think there is a lot of risk.” Covid has distorted supply lines since 2020, and future variants and outbreaks could do the same. But some experts worry that the Fed is moving too slowly and that its approach could force it to take more drastic steps to tame prices down the line. The goal is to slow down the economy and, therefore, inflation. “It is really a broader imbalance between supply and demand,” my colleague Jeanna Smialek, who covers the economy, told me. But costs for other goods, including housing, increased significantly in March, too. That was the fastest increase since 1981.

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Image courtesy of "Axios"

Why inflation may have already peaked (Axios)

How it works: The headline inflation figure, which spiked by 1.2% in March alone, has been driven overwhelmingly by energy prices. Core inflation, which ...

What's next: The Fed is going to keep on raising rates all year. The bottom line: We may be moving from inflation being high and rising, to inflation being high and falling. Core inflation, which excludes food and energy, was relatively subdued, rising only 0.3%. The other side: Any declaration that inflation has peaked is necessarily "provisional at best," wrote RSM's Joe Brusuelas in a research note, given the volatility and unpredictability of oil prices in a time of war. - Good news is likely in the coming April inflation report: The price of oil has fallen to $94 a barrel, down from a peak of $124 on March 8. - Right now we're reaching the end of the period in which we're comparing to prices that were artificially depressed by the pandemic — and we'll soon be comparing to prices that were hitting artificial highs thanks to global supply constraints.

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Image courtesy of "CNN"

This key inflation measure just saw its biggest gain on record - CNN (CNN)

US inflation kept moving higher in March and the Producer Price Index is the latest data point showing the price pressure.

This supply and demand imbalance will also continue to put upward pressure on food prices for producers, and thus US households, in the coming months," said PNC senior economist Kurt Rankin. That was more than expected and more than in each of the prior two months. Fresh and dry vegetables, iron and steel scrap got more expensive, as well.

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Image courtesy of "USA TODAY"

Inflation rose at fastest pace since 1981 in March as consumer ... (USA TODAY)

The inflation rate hit 8.5% annually in March, a new 40-year high, on surging gasoline and food prices. Inflation likely has peaked, economists say.

And fresh biscuits, rolls and muffins rose 2.5% monthly and 10.8% from a year ago. Grocery prices increased 1.5 from the prior month and 10% over the past year. Breakfast cereal prices rose 2.4% monthly and 9.2% from a year ago. Gasoline prices were the chief culprit, jumping 18.3% and accounting for more than half the overall rise in costs. Airfares surged 10.7%, pushing the yearly rise to 23.6%. Hotel rates increased 3.3% monthly and 25.1% annually. And rent increased 0.4% from the prior month and 4.4% annually. But Ian Shepherdson of Pantheon Macroeconomics says further softening in core prices could cause the Fed to pull back to a quarter-point increase at the June gathering. And the war could extend the supply troubles and outsized price gains longer than anticipated, says Barclays economist Pooja Sriram. Barclays estimates yearly inflation will still be 6.4% in June and 4.4% at the end of the year. But on a monthly basis, core prices increased 0.3%, the slowest increase in six months and a sign such prices may be easing, Contingent Macro Research says. Ukraine accounts for about 8% of the world’s wheat exports and war-related disruptions to shipments are pushing up the prices of wheat-related products, along with other commodities. Consumer prices climbed further into the stratosphere in March and the only consolation is that the painful bout of skyrocketing costs may have peaked. Excluding volatile food and energy items, so-called core prices rose 6.5% annually in March, the largest advance since August 1982.

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Image courtesy of "The Washington Post"

Prices climbed 8.5% in March, compared to last year, amid growing ... (The Washington Post)

Inflation has proven to be one of the most blistering features of the covid economy, testing the White House and Federal Reserve.

In mid-March, the Fed launched its first rate hike since the pandemic and penciled in six more to catch up with rising prices in 2022. Already, policymakers are rushing to get ahold of prices that have turned out to be anything but the temporary wrinkle they predicted for much the pandemic. “At the end of the day prices are too high, American families are feeling that,” Deese said. The White House, for its part, touts its recent moves to lower prices, including through the release of 1 million barrels a day from the nation’s Strategic Petroleum Reserve. The White House also plans to roll out new policies aimed at attempting to curb gas prices. But as it sets out to rein in inflation, the Fed will strive to cool the economy down without causing it to contract altogether. “The expectation going into this year was that we would basically see inflation peaking in the first quarter, then maybe leveling out,” Fed Chair Jerome H. Powell said in March. “That story has already fallen apart. Rents are rising, groceries are more expensive, and even wage increases aren’t always enough to cover the basics. Russia’s invasion triggered a slew of international sanctions that are intended to choke off Russia’s economy and Putin’s inner circle. The gasoline index rose 18.3 percent in March after climbing 6.6 percent in February. The Federal Reserve also recently downgraded its GDP forecasts, with officials cautioning that the war in Ukraine is casting much uncertainty over the world order. Just a few months ago, officials at the White House and Federal Reserve hoped that inflation was starting to tick down month by month. Overall, the energy index has risen 32.0 percent over the last year.

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How soaring inflation forces stark choices on low-income Americans (NPR)

Inflation in March was the highest since December of 1981, with prices up 8.5% from a year ago. Rising prices are especially hard on low-income people, ...

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US inflation jumped 8.5% in past year, highest since 1981 (ABC News)

Inflation soared over the past year at its fastest pace in more than 40 years, with costs for food, gasoline, housing and other necessities squeezing ...

The recovery, fueled by huge infusions of government spending and super-low interest rates, caught businesses by surprise, forcing them to scramble to meet surging customer demand. Economists generally express doubt that even the sharp rate hikes that are expected from the Fed will manage to reduce inflation anywhere near the central bank's 2% annual target by the end of this year. Economists point out that since the economy emerged from the depths of the pandemic, consumers have been gradually broadening their spending beyond goods to include more services. According to AAA, the average price of a gallon of gasoline — $4.11 — is up 44% from a year ago, though it has fallen back in the past couple of weeks. Still, rocketing inflation, with its impact on Americans' daily lives, is posing a political threat to President Joe Biden and his Democratic allies as they seek to keep control of Congress in November’s midterm elections. The March numbers will be the first the capture the full surge in gasoline prices that followed Russia's invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24. The financial markets, in fact, now foresee much steeper rate hikes this year than Fed officials had signaled as recently as last month. Mortgage rates, in particular, though not directly influenced by the Fed, have rocketed higher in recent weeks, making home buying more expensive. According to AAA, the average price of a gallon of gasoline — $4.10 — is up 43% from a year ago, though it has fallen back in the past couple of weeks. The March inflation numbers were the first to capture the full surge in gasoline prices that followed Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24. The financial markets now foresee much steeper rate hikes this year than Fed officials had signaled as recently as last month. The Labor Department said Tuesday that its consumer price index jumped 8.5% in March from 12 months earlier — the biggest year-over-year increase since December 1981.

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Image courtesy of "The Guardian"

US inflation climbed to 8.5% in March, highest rate since 1981 (The Guardian)

The latest Consumer Price Index (CPI) – which measures the prices of a basket of goods and services – comes after the index rose by 7.9% in the year through ...

Nationally the average price of a gallon of gas is now $4.11, compared with $2.86 a year ago, according to AAA. On Monday White House press secretary Jen Psaki told reporters that the labor department’s previous report had not included the majority of the jump in oil and gas costs caused by the Kremlin’s invasion of Ukraine. The gasoline index rose 18.3% in March and accounted for over half of all the items’ monthly increase.

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Image courtesy of "Forbes"

Inflation Hits 40-Year High—Spiking 8.5% In March As Ukraine ... (Forbes)

Double-digit CPI inflation later this spring is a stretch, but it can't be ruled out," warns one economist.

Though they’re down about 20% from an early March high, oil prices are still up about 20% this year. Meanwhile, oil prices have surged amid intensifying sanctions against Russia, one of the world’s top oil-producing countries, pushing gas prices to all-time highs last month. “Russia’s invasion of Ukraine complicates the economic outlook by fanning already heated inflation and forcing the [Fed] How high prices could go this year. After rising 27% in 2021, the benchmark S&P 500 has tumbled 8% this year. The overall increase was the result of broad gains across gasoline, shelter and food prices, the government said, pointing out a 18.3% monthly increase in the price of gas accounted for over half of the overall increase.

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Image courtesy of "The New York Times"

CPI Report Live Updates: March Inflation Hit 8.5% as Gas Soared (The New York Times)

The Consumer Price Index data released Tuesday showed a whopping 18.3 percent increase in gasoline prices in March from the prior month, seasonally adjusted, ...

Fares for domestic flights booked in March were 20 percent higher than in the same month in 2019, according to an analysis by the Adobe Digital Economy Index, which draws on online sales from six of the top 10 U.S. airlines. In the eurozone, the annual inflation rate jumped to 7.5 percent in March, up from 5.9 percent the previous month. Energy and food prices are often volatile, but what worries central bankers is price increases spilling over into other goods and services, followed by workers demanding higher wages to cope with the higher cost of living. “People are pulling back because of inflation and high prices elsewhere, so stuff is starting to pile up a bit at the warehouses,” he said. The price of household furnishings and supplies rose 1 percent in March, the eighth consecutive monthly increase in that category. Russia is the third-largest producer of oil, and crude prices spiked, followed by gas prices, which hit a record high in early March and kept rising. The theory is that weaker demand will help supply to catch up, helping to tame the burst of inflation. The latest monthly reading from the Consumer Price Index, which showed prices climbing at the fastest pace since 1981, is likely to keep it on that course. However, since passage of the 2007 law, the mandate has been met with criticism that it has contributed to increased fuel prices and has done little to lower greenhouse gas pollution. On Tuesday, the Environmental Protection Agency will issue a waiver that will allow the blend known as E15 — which is made of 15 percent ethanol — to be used between June 1 and Sept. 15. Utility expenses for the average household for the period stretching from October to March have surged in comparison with the same period a year prior. Instead, oil prices will continue to swing sharply, and more spikes are likely as the war continues.””

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Image courtesy of "WAGM"

US inflation jumped 8.5% in past year, highest since 1981 (WAGM)

Prices have been driven up by bottlenecked supply chains, robust consumer demand and disruptions to global food and energy markets worsened by Russia's war ...

Economists generally express doubt that even the sharp rate hikes that are expected from the Fed will manage to reduce inflation anywhere near the central bank’s 2% annual target by the end of this year. “We do believe that the consumer is going to be spending,’’ Mitchell said. Still, for now anyway, with the job market robust, inflation has yet to dampen overall consumer spending. According to AAA, the average price of a gallon of gasoline — $4.10 — is up 43% from a year ago, though it has fallen back in the past couple of weeks. This can set off a wage-price spiral, something the nation last endured in the late 1960s and 1970s. Many economists say they worry that the Fed has waited too long to begin raising rates and might end up acting so aggressively as to trigger a recession. Still, rocketing inflation, with its impact on Americans’ daily lives, is posing a political threat to President Joe Biden and his Democratic allies as they seek to keep control of Congress in November’s midterm elections. Airline fares, for instance, have soared an average of nearly 24% in the past 12 months. The March inflation numbers were the first to capture the full surge in gasoline prices that followed Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24. Even before Russia’s war further spurred price increases, robust consumer spending, steady pay raises and chronic supply shortages had sent U.S. consumer inflation to its highest level in four decades. The Labor Department said Tuesday that its consumer price index jumped 8.5% in March from 12 months earlier, the sharpest year-over-year increase since December 1981. Used car prices have soared 35.3%, though they actually fell in February and March. Bedroom furniture is up 14.7%, men’s jackets suits and coats 14.5%. Grocery prices have jumped 10%, including 18% increases for both bacon and oranges.

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Image courtesy of "Aljazeera.com"

US inflation jumped 8.5 percent in past year, highest since 1981 (Aljazeera.com)

March inflation numbers are the first to include the hike in petrol prices spurred by Russia's invasion of Ukraine.

Economists point out that as the economy has emerged from the depths of the coronavirus pandemic, consumers have been gradually broadening their spending beyond goods to include more services. The recovery, fuelled by huge infusions of government spending and super-low interest rates, caught businesses by surprise, forcing them to scramble to meet surging customer demand. According to the American Automobile Association, the average price of a gallon of gasoline — $4.10 — is up 43 percent from a year ago, though it has fallen back in the past couple of weeks. Economists generally express doubt that even the sharp rate hikes that are expected from the Fed will manage to reduce inflation anywhere near the central bank’s 2 percent annual target by the end of this year. Even before Russia’s war further spurred price increases, robust consumer spending, steady pay raises and chronic supply shortages had sent US consumer inflation to its highest level in four decades. The March inflation numbers were the first to capture the full surge in gasoline or petrol prices that followed Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on February 24.

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Image courtesy of "NBC News"

Inflation hits new 40-year high of 8.5-percent due to war, rent hikes (NBC News)

U.S. inflation hit a new multi-decade high amid surging gas prices and rising rents, climbing to 8.5 percent for March, the Bureau of Labor Statistics ...

"We expect a decent chunk of it is at the disposal of households should they wish to rely on it," they said. "More simply, we expect households to save less in the near term to offset some of the hit to purchasing power from rising inflation. This is beneficial to households even if inflation is currently eating into much of the recent gain." "We think [readings of inflation expectations] put too much emphasis on the very recent past," he wrote. "Households are in decent financial shape and this should not be overlooked," the note reads, concluding that: "Wage growth has been robust and shows few signs of slowing amid strong demand for labor. All signs point to the Federal Reserve moving forward on its plans for a series of interest rate hikes to help slow the economy and fight inflation. The bank estimates there is still about $2.3 trillion in excess savings currently outstanding. "When workers see inflation coming, they want to be compensated for it. Yet some economists now say the Fed is facing inflation forces it cannot easily control. The soft reading was driven by the biggest drop in used vehicle prices since 1969. Gas prices jumped 48 percent year-over-year, the BLS said, and climbed 18.3 percent from February. Meanwhile, rental rates have experienced eight-consecutive months of increases, and sit above the pre-pandemic trend.

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U.S. inflation rises 8.5 percent, sharpest increase since 1981 (PBS NewsHour)

Inflation soared over the past year at its fastest pace in more than 40 years, with costs for food, gasoline, housing and other necessities squeezing ...

Economists generally express doubt that even the sharp rate hikes that are expected from the Fed will manage to reduce inflation anywhere near the central bank’s 2 percent annual target by the end of this year. The recovery, fueled by huge infusions of government spending and super-low interest rates, caught businesses by surprise, forcing them to scramble to meet surging customer demand. Economists point out that as the economy has emerged from the depths of the pandemic, consumers have been gradually broadening their spending beyond goods to include more services. According to AAA, the average price of a gallon of gasoline — $4.10 — is up 43 percent from a year ago, though it has fallen back in the past couple of weeks. In February, after accounting for inflation, average hourly wages fell 2.5 percent from a year earlier. Mortgage rates, in particular, though not directly influenced by the Fed, have rocketed higher in recent weeks, making home buying more expensive. Many economists say they worry that the Fed has waited too long to begin raising rates and might end up acting so aggressively as to trigger a recession. The March inflation numbers were the first to capture the full surge in gasoline prices that followed Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24. Even before Russia’s war further spurred price increases, robust consumer spending, steady pay raises and chronic supply shortages had sent U.S. consumer inflation to its highest level in four decades. The financial markets now foresee much steeper rate hikes this year than Fed officials had signaled as recently as last month. Grocery prices have jumped 10 percent, including 18 percent increases for both bacon and oranges. The Labor Department said Tuesday that its consumer price index jumped 8.5 percent in March from 12 months earlier, the sharpest year-over-year increase since December 1981.

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Image courtesy of "The New York Times"

Globally, inflation is surging amid persistent pandemic disruptions ... (The New York Times)

This may be the beginning of “a new inflationary era,” according to the Bank for International Settlements.

In the eurozone, the annual inflation rate jumped to 7.5 percent in March, up from 5.9 percent the previous month. Energy and food prices are often volatile, but what worries central bankers is price increases spilling over into other goods and services, followed by workers demanding higher wages to cope with the higher cost of living. “The forces behind high inflation could persist for some time.” Just as in the United States, policymakers in other countries have been caught off guard by persistently high inflation. ’10 ’05

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Image courtesy of "USA TODAY"

After a string of 40-year highs, will inflation slow down? Some ... (USA TODAY)

Inflation hit another 40-year high of 8.5% in March but some economists the rise in the CPI has peaked. Others disagree.

The latter could further push up costs for airfares and hotels, which rose 10.7% and 3.3%, respectively, in March. They declined for the second straight month in March, slipping nearly 4%, but are still up 35.3% over the past year. And while prices will continue to move higher month to month, the increases should be less dramatic. But it would at least feel as if the country were on the downhill side of a forbidding mountain. What happens to gasoline prices could be key. Oil and gas prices, though, have fallen in recent weeks.

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Image courtesy of "Vox"

The competing theories on rising inflation, explained (Vox)

The consumer price index grew by 8.5 percent in March. Why did inflation become so widespread?

And to understand that theory, it helps to understand the theory that theory was reacting against. And at the moment, I think we can do that by hiking mildly now, rather than dramatically in a little while. That’s very easy to plan for, and is a context where long-run inflation expectations are probably the most important thing. That’s led to not just inflation but accelerating inflation, as wage increases contribute to price increases and higher expectations of future inflation contribute to higher immediate inflation. I still don’t think NAIRU, taken at face value, is an adequate view of the labor market and inflation, and I don’t think that our 3.6 percent unemployment rate right now is too low, as NAIRU would have it. If unemployment is above the NAIRU rate as estimated by the Fed — say, 8 percent when NAIRU is 4.4 percent — then the labor market doesn’t have much to do with inflation. They didn’t want to give up Great Society spending programs or the military buildup demanded by the Vietnam War, and were willing to accept that all that spending drove unemployment down and inflation up. To understand what I got wrong, it helps to understand the theory of the economy I was reacting against. So the relationship was not just between unemployment and wages, but between unemployment and prices generally. Put another way, the people you’d expect to have the surest handle on where inflation is going have admitted they got it wrong, too — and by a lot. When fears arose last fall that rising inflation expectations — that is, people thinking inflation was going to be higher in the future — could in turn lead to more inflation now, I wrote a newsletter citing research that cast doubt on that theory. The Federal Reserve, which is tasked with managing the money supply to keep inflation steady and unemployment low, set a low inflation target of 2 percent a year, and kept falling short.

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U.S. Inflation Quickens to 8.5%, Ratcheting Up Pressure on Fed (advisorperspectives.com)

U.S. consumer prices rose in March by the most since late 1981, bolstering expectations that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by half a point ...

His administration last month ordered the largest oil release in history from its reserves to help cool prices, but gas prices nationwide are still averaging above $4 a gallon. The war in Ukraine, which started in late February, led to a spike in energy prices on fears that cutting off Russian oil and gas would stretch already-tight supply. If sustained, the drop suggests that energy prices will have less of an impact on inflation in April. Even so, inflation is projected to stay near 6% by the end of the year, which will keep pressure on the Fed Chair Jerome Powell and his colleagues. Prices for household furnishings and supplies rose 1% from February after outsize gains in recent months. Services costs increased 5.1% from a year ago, the biggest advance since 1991.

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Inflation is crushing Joe Biden and Democrats - CNNPolitics (CNN)

The Consumer Price Index -- a measure of inflation in the economy -- hit a four-decade high in March, a brutal reminder for Democrats of the political ...

This is a massive political problem for Biden and his party. The problem for Biden (and his party) is that it's not at all clear that people care why everything they are trying to buy costs more. from Matt Zeitlin, an economics reporter at Grid News, about the details of the CPI report: "The food at home index rose 10.0 percent over the last 12 months, the largest 12-month increase since the period ending March 1981. The Biden administration had been expecting a bad CPI number. Or buy just about anything. Or shop for groceries.

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Grocery inflation accelerates in March – Produce Blue Book (Produce Blue Book)

Inflation highest for dollar stores, Gen Z and black consumers; lowest for club channel, Asian and Hispanic/Latino consumers. CHICAGO, April 12, 2022 (GLOBE ...

YA in March from +10.8% in February. Grocery inflation slowed for both Asian consumers (+9.8 in March vs. Numerator is a data and tech company bringing speed and scale to market research. As of March, 27.3% of consumers said they would use extra funds for vacations or travel, up from 25.8% in February, likely also impacted by seasonality. The Price Pulse includes a cross-channel view of prices, as well as channel-specific views and cuts by consumer demographic groups. Average price per item within a category is based on verified purchase data from over 100,000 Numerator panelists, and the monthly average price is compared versus the monthly average one year ago and two years ago. - Low Income consumers continue to pay disproportionately more for groceries. - Black consumers saw increased inflation as rates slowed for Asian and Hispanic / Latino consumers. - Fewer consumers say they have spare cash, most notably Asian consumers. - All generations saw double-digit grocery inflation, with Gen Z most impacted. - Dollar store grocery inflation rate is nearly double other channels. An ongoing survey of 10,000+ consumers provides additional detail around financial health, outlook, and spending. - Grocery prices have steadily increased since April 2021.

The rate of inflation made its sharpest spike since 1981 (NPR)

Consumer prices in March were up 8.5% from a year ago — the sharpest increase since December of 1981. Stubbornly high inflation is a challenge for the U.S. ...

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Beyond Today's Inflation Storm (Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond)

President Tom Barkin explores the conditions we may face once we navigate through the current inflation storm.

Longer term, I am paying attention to the global forces I’ve described — whether they occur, in fact, and what impact they have on inflationary pressures. It is notoriously difficult to pinpoint shifts in the weather, and the old joke is that economic forecasting was invented to make weather forecasters look good. As demand for goods exploded in the midst of the pandemic, supply chains have struggled to keep up, and now to catch up. We will need to be crystal clear that a growing economy requires stable prices, and that we will remain committed to addressing inflationary gusts. In contrast, the last 10 years have seen little conflict between our goals in making policy, and so the Fed’s decisions have been relatively easier to explain. How far we will need to raise rates in fact won’t be clear until we get closer to our destination, but rest assured we will do what we must to address this recent bout of above-target inflation. Inflationary pressure puts constantly on the table the potential for a trade-off between employment and inflation, our dual mandate goals. No one could have predicted the explosive growth of e-commerce, which lowered the barrier to price comparisons and cut costs for retailers. This “series of fortunate events” (if I can borrow from the children’s books) could be described as putting “the wind at our back” when it came to containing inflation. I think this analogy extends to the question of how the Fed contains inflation. The direction of the wind matters. To give my Fed predecessors due credit, a lot of work has gone into anchoring inflation expectations over the last generation.

US inflation jumped 8.5% in past year, highest since 1981 - Austin ... (Austin Herald)

Prices have been driven up by bottlenecked supply chains, robust consumer demand and disruptions to global food and energy markets worsened by Russia's war ...

Hughes told her the price of making the cake and delivering it would come to nearly $200. According to AAA, the average price of a gallon of gasoline — $4.10 — is up 43% from a year ago, though it’s dipped in the past couple of weeks. She’s raised the price of her six-inch cake by $5 to $50. In addition, housing costs, which make up about a third of the consumer price index, have escalated, a trend that seems unlikely to reverse anytime soon. “We do believe that the consumer is going to be spending,” Mitchell said. Many economists say they worry that the Fed has waited too long to begin raising rates and might end up acting so aggressively as to trigger a recession. Still, for now, with the job market healthy, inflation has yet to dampen overall consumer spending. The acceleration of inflation has occurred against the backdrop of a booming job market and a solid overall economy. Airline fares, for instance, have soared an average of nearly 24% in the past 12 months. Kathy Bostjancic, an economist at Oxford Economics, said she expects year-over-year inflation to hit 9% in May and then begin “a slow descent.” Some other economists, too, suggest that inflation is at or near its peak. The March inflation numbers were the first to fully capture the surge in gasoline prices that followed Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24. Prices have been driven up by bottlenecked supply chains, robust consumer demand and disruptions to global food and energy markets worsened by Russia’s war against Ukraine. From February to March, inflation rose 1.2%, the biggest month-to-month jump since 2005.

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No end in sight for spiking prices? Enter the 'peak inflation' crowd (Politico)

In recent days, economic forecasters have said that the March inflation number — an 8.5 percent surge over last year — may be the worst of it.

Swiss bank UBS analysts wrote: “Over a large part of the past year, UBS’s inflation forecasts were well above consensus expectations on Wall Street. And so far, they’ve been right. “Going forward, the greater concern is really around how entrenched inflation has become as Americans continue to worry about rising prices.” Among the banks’ reasons for optimism: Used car prices, which propelled much of the inflation last year, have begun to fall. Oil surged after the inflation numbers were released Tuesday, and housing costs haven’t even fully worked their way into the data. Headline inflation refers to all price increases, while the core number excludes volatile food and energy costs. Republicans are trying to pin the dismal numbers on Democrats, and they may have a winning issue: Voters, whose paycheck gains are mostly being wiped out by inflation, have consistently told pollsters that price increases are a top concern and given President Joe Biden low marks for his handling of the economy.

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As Inflation Hits 8.5%, Workers Expect Bigger Raises (SHRM)

Consumer prices rose 8.5 percent year over year in March, the highest inflation rate since 1981, the government reported. As inflation keeps rising, ...

"They know that taking a cautious 'wait-and-see' approach on compensation is risky and can lead to the loss of great talent." Of those, 62 percent are increasing salaries for current staff to help close wage gaps. Within that group, 13 percent said they received a salary increase of 20 percent or more. Higher inflation means the buying power of workers' take-home pay is shrinking. Economists differ on whether inflation will continue to rise or begin to recede. The latest figures show that inflation continues to escalate. - More than half of C-suite executives surveyed (56 percent) said they have observed salary discrepancies between new hires and more tenured staff in the past year. The monthly increase from February to March was 1.2 percent. - To adjust for the higher cost of living (30 percent). - 31 percent will ask to revisit the salary conversation in a few months. - To account for additional job responsibilities (22 percent). Nearly two-thirds (62 percent) of surveyed workers plan to ask for a raise this year, with the top reasons being:

EXPLAINER: Why US inflation is so high, and when it may ease (Minneapolis Star Tribune)

The Federal Reserve never anticipated inflation this severe or persistent. Back in December 2020, the Fed's policymakers had forecast that consumer inflation ...

With a Democrat in the White House, Republicans are far more likely than Democrats to say that inflation is having a negative effect on their personal finances, according to surveys of consumer sentiment conducted by the University of Michigan. The strong job market is boosting workers' pay, though not enough to offset higher prices. When the pandemic paralyzed the economy in the spring of 2020 and lockdowns kicked in, businesses closed or cut hours and consumers stayed home as a health precaution, employers slashed a breathtaking 22 million jobs. Elevated consumer price inflation could endure as long as companies struggle to keep up with consumers' demand for goods and services. The Fed is making a high-risk bet that it can slow the economy enough to rein in inflation without weakening it so much as to trigger a recession. But instead of sinking into a prolonged downturn, the economy staged an unexpectedly rousing recovery, fueled by vast infusions of government aid and emergency intervention by the Fed, which slashed rates, among other things. The overall economy is healthy, with a robust job market and extremely low unemployment. Critics blamed, in part, President Joe Biden's $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief package, with its $1,400 checks to most households, for overheating an economy that was already sizzling on its own. Now, most economists expect inflation to remain elevated well into next year, with demand outstripping supplies in numerous areas of the economy. From there, the year-over-year increases accelerated — 2.6% in March, 4.2% in April, 5% in May, 5.4% in June. That was also the sharpest such jump in four decades. Consumers have felt the squeeze in everyday routines.

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'I've never seen anything like this' | Soaring inflation forcing ... (12newsnow.com KBMT-KJAC)

BEAUMONT, Texas — Experts said an inflation surge is raising costs for businesses, which is, in turn, hurting consumers' wallets.

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UK inflation hits 30-year high of 7% as energy prices surge (CNBC)

The 7% annual rise in the consumer price index is the highest since March 1992. Consumer prices rose by 1.1% month-on-month, outstripping expectations for a ...

"The Bank of England is worried about medium term inflation. The surge in inflation will hit household budgets hard, especially those on lower incomes who have now exhausted pandemic savings," Glass said in an email Wednesday. Consumer prices rose by 1.1% month-on-month, outstripping expectations for a 0.7% climb in a Reuters poll of economists, which had also projected a 6.7% annual increase. - Consumer prices rose by 1.1% month-on-month, outstripping expectations for a 0.7% climb in a Reuters poll of economists, which had projected a 6.7% annual increase. The 7% annual rise in the consumer price index is the highest since March 1992, outstripping the 6.2% increase recorded in February. - The 7% annual rise in the consumer price index is the highest since March 1992.

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U.S. households are spending an extra $327 a month due to ... (CNBC)

Inflation has hit levels not seen in 40 years, and Americans' wallets are feeling the strain. Prices are rising on everything from energy to food to shelter ...

To comparison-shop, look at a product's unit price, which is essentially the cost per unit of a particular product. "Twenty years from now, things are going to be twice as expensive," she said. To save on gas, be strategic about the use of your car. You may get them as part of a retailer's reward program or credit card. Save on energy by unplugging appliances when they are not in use or using power strips with switches that allow you to completely turn off the products plugged into it. Buying items in bulk in a warehouse store, like Costco or BJ's, may help you avoid future price hikes. Pierce likes apps such as Flipp to look up grocery store ads. You can also try negotiating to lower bills like your cable bill or car insurance, suggests Misty Lynch, a certified financial planner with Walpole, Massachusetts-based Sound View Financial Advisors. Use coupons in-store and online. Yet it's expected to take some time for inflation to cool off. That's higher than last month's estimate of $296 per month. "You want to be aware of where all of your money is going and give yourself the opportunity to lower another area of your budget to make the numbers work," she said.

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EXPLAINER: Why US inflation is so high, and when it may ease (ABC News)

Even if you toss out food and energy prices — which are notoriously volatile and have driven much of the price spike — so-called core inflation jumped 6.5% in ...

With a Democrat in the White House, Republicans are far more likely than Democrats to say that inflation is having a negative effect on their personal finances, according to surveys of consumer sentiment conducted by the University of Michigan. The strong job market is boosting workers' pay, though not enough to offset higher prices. Elevated consumer price inflation could endure as long as companies struggle to keep up with consumers’ demand for goods and services. When the pandemic paralyzed the economy in the spring of 2020 and lockdowns kicked in, businesses closed or cut hours and consumers stayed home as a health precaution, employers slashed a breathtaking 22 million jobs. The Fed is making a high-risk bet that it can slow the economy enough to rein in inflation without weakening it so much as to trigger a recession. But instead of sinking into a prolonged downturn, the economy staged an unexpectedly rousing recovery, fueled by vast infusions of government aid and emergency intervention by the Fed, which slashed rates, among other things. Critics blamed, in part, President Joe Biden’s $1.9 trillion coronavirus relief package, with its $1,400 checks to most households, for overheating an economy that was already sizzling on its own. The overall economy is healthy, with a robust job market and extremely low unemployment. Now, most economists expect inflation to remain elevated well into next year, with demand outstripping supplies in numerous areas of the economy. From there, the year-over-year increases accelerated — 2.6% in March, 4.2% in April, 5% in May, 5.4% in June. That was also the sharpest such jump in four decades. Consumers have felt the squeeze in everyday routines.

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How soaring inflation forces stark choices on low-income Americans (KALW)

Inflation likely hit another 40-year high in March, with prices up more than 8% from a year ago. Rising prices are especially hard on low-income people, ...

"I love going to the art museums and thrift store shopping and just getting out," she said. "I usually go to see her three days out of the week. "I'm not making it to the end of the month anymore," she adds. "While all Americans are confronting higher prices, the burden is particularly great for households with more limited resources," Brainard said. The central bank started slowly, raising rates by a quarter percentage point. When the weather warms up, Kemp plans to plant a vegetable garden in hopes of defraying her food bill. "The $200 a month is now going into my gas tank." For Terrie Dean, it's the cost of housing that really stings. The increased gas prices can impact family ties. "It's just horrible with the gas," she says. "I don't understand what's going on. "You have to be a little more cautious in what you cook and things you make and things you buy," she says.

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How to Find Closed-End Funds With Inflation-Beating 8% Returns (Barron's)

Their marketable cousins, Treasury Inflation Protected Securities, failed to live up to their name in protecting investors from the effects of surging inflation ...

And sometimes the best defense is a strong offense. One battle plan is to generate income that keeps pace with inflation. With the consumer-price index rising at the fastest pace in four decades, protecting against inflation is the top priority for investors.

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Inflation - AAF (American Action Forum)

Yesterday was the second Tuesday of April, so the Bureau of Labor Statistics released the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for March.

It compares the real (inflation-adjusted) federal policy rate (the federal funds rate) with the core inflation rate. With one-quarter of 2022 in the rearview mirror, there is a clear uptick in the pace of services inflation (now up to 5.1 percent), but no sign of abating goods inflation. Get ready for a game of catch-up over the summer and fall. The combination of food, energy, and shelter – over 50 percent of the average family budget – is rising at a 9.4 percent annual rate. There has been considerable speculation that 2022 would see a moderating of inflation as health conditions permitted consumers to shift away from purchasing goods and back toward a greater share of services spending. Shelter inflation, one-third of the budget by itself, is now rising at a 5.0 percent annual rate – 2.5 times the Federal Reserve’s target rate of 2 percent.

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Inflation Surges Again, But Markets Watch Medium-Term Prospects (Forbes)

The U.S. inflation rate once again hit a 40-year high in March at 8.5% as energy and food prices surged, but what's next?

Housing continues to be a puzzle as CPI rates for prices increases are well below other sources that track house prices such as Case-Shiller and Zillow indices. Price increases for services may provide a clue to medium-term inflation as well. Certain cost increases may have been one-off spikes, and though they may not necessarily reverse, will not push up inflation further if prices continue to level off or even fall back. That will have implications for both stock and bond pricing, and of course the Fed’s path for interest rates. The monthly increases in prices was the highest since this inflation spike began, as impacts from the Ukraine conflict further disrupted commodity pricing and supply chains. The U.S. inflation rate once again hit a 40-year high in March at 8.5% as energy and food prices surged.

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Inflation adds to voters' frustrations in a key congressional district (NPR)

President Biden's popularity has crumbled since he first took office. A trip to Michigan's 7th Congressional District — one of the most competitive in the ...

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Gold gains over 1% as Treasury yields ease post inflation data (Reuters)

Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com · U.S. CPI data shows 8.5% increase in prices in March · Gold near its highest since March 14 · $1,982 within ...

read more read more read more Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com U.S. gold futures settled up 1.4% at $1,976.10. Register now for FREE unlimited access to Reuters.com

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Is inflation crunching your budget? Here are 3 ways to fight back (CNBC)

Inflation is quickly raising prices for households in core areas of their monthly budgets — energy, food and housing. That's making it hard for consumers to ...

"Power has shifted to employees in a major way," Baxley said. "Figure out how inflation is hurting your household the most," Baxley said. The Consumer Price Index is a national average that may not reflect an individual's situation such as their wage growth and household expenses. Investors can save up to $10,000 a year. This is also a good time to negotiate work-related costs — for example, asking to work from home more often can reduce transportation time and, therefore, gasoline expenses. Russia's invasion of Ukraine was a big contributor to inflation in March, especially for gasoline prices. Power has shifted to employees in a major way. For one, high prices may be eclipsing some good news for workers: The job market is hot. That dynamic is still present, as Covid cases abroad cause lockdowns and halt production, for example. Costs were up across all major food categories, the Labor Department said. Meanwhile, prices at the pump are up 48%. Some economists are optimistic inflation peaked last month.

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Amazon is adding a 5% fuel and inflation surcharge - CNN (CNN)

The e-commerce giant said the new fee will begin April 28 and is being imposed because inflation has worsened significantly in recent months. "In 2022, we ...

"Like many, we have experienced significant cost increases and absorbed them, wherever possible, to reduce the impact on our selling partners," Amazon said. Uber and Lyft recently began tacking on "It is unclear if these inflationary costs will go up or down, or for how long they will persist, so rather than a permanent fee change."

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As inflation hits 8.5% nationally, it's even higher in Arizona. Here's ... (AZCentral.com)

In addition to spiking housing prices, metro Phoenix residents are more dependent on both gasoline and vehicles than people in many other big cities.

Then there's the Russian invasion of Ukraine, which has upset the oil market and likely will lead to higher food prices given Ukraine's position as a major wheat exporter. When the Social Security Administration last fall announced a 5.9% COLA on benefits for 2022, it was ballyhooed as the largest increase in four decades. But others view the inflationary spiral as more complicated and less political. Certain categories such as food, gasoline and housing are given a greater weighting or importance compared to others, reflecting the spending patterns of most Americans. of Higher prices for gasoline, shelter and food led the way, the BLS said. Personal incomes have risen, including in Arizona, but they haven't gained ground for everyone or at the same pace as inflation. Longer term, computerization is seen as a disinflationary or deflationary catalyst because people and businesses can get so much more done through automation than previously, often for less money. Also, inflation often is evaluated in connection with incomes, which also have risen over time. The inflation spiral also has widened political divides, with many Republicans blaming President Joe Biden for the uptick while others point to a much more complex set of catalysts — some political, others not. Moderate inflation is normal, desirable and certainly better than the reverse — deflation. Almost every consumer item has risen in price, underscored by a national annualized inflation rate that just hit 8.5% in March, the highest rate in 41 years. A: Because the rate of price increases has accelerated, stoking anxiety that this condition could get out of hand.

Spike in inflation presents further challenges for the Biden ... (NPR)

NPR's A Martinez speaks to Brian Deese, director of the National Economic Council, about inflation's economic and political challenges, and the Biden ...

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What the Latest Inflation Figures Mean for the Economy (The New Yorker)

John Cassidy on the Consumer Price Index, fears of a recession, and why Biden “is getting something of a raw deal.”

If the White House tries to make the argument that, yes, rising inflation is a very unwelcome development but there are also a lot of positive developments in the economy, it gets accused of being out of touch. Is there any politically convincing argument to be made that the economy is performing well in the face of the pandemic when gas, food, and all the rest are suddenly so expensive? The White House will take some comfort in that and hope that the 8.5-per-cent figure for inflation marked the peak. But the saliency point also applies to things such as heating bills and the cost of food, which has gone up nearly nine per cent in the past twelve months. In fact, it is often seen as an indication that an economy is growing too rapidly relative to the supply of labor and other resources. Where you stand in this debate largely depends on how you interpret the recent inflation spike. Because of developments like these, the C.P.I. over all rose by 1.2 per cent in March, and by 8.5 per cent in the previous twelve months. Defenders of the Fed say that it still has a decent chance of cooling down the economy and bringing down inflation without causing a recession—that’s the scenario known as a soft landing. Last month, the most noticeable developments were the big jumps in the price of energy and food, both of which can be traced, to a greater or lesser extent, to disruptions caused by the war in Ukraine. Also, on the negative side, there were some signs of higher energy prices feeding into price rises in other parts of the economy, including the huge service sector. Take delivery services and laundry/dry cleaning, both of which use a lot of energy, where prices have risen by double digits in the past twelve months. John Cassidy has been a staff writer at The New Yorker since 1995, writing extensively about economics and politics. What does a deeper dive into the numbers tell you?

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Inflation putting strain on area food banks (wflx)

Between volunteer and supply chain shortages, it hasn't been easy keeping the food safety net going for everyone in need. Advertisement. Inflation is now making ...

"We're doing more food drives. "More and more people find it hard to just [get by] with one paycheck, go to the store and buy their groceries for an entire week. We still are very fortunate to be able to receive it.

Asian shares mostly rise on interest rate, inflation hopes (Bay to Bay News)

People walk by an electronic stock board of a securities firm in Tokyo, Wednesday, April 13, 2022. Asian shares were mostly higher Wednesday on hopes that ...

Consumer prices rose 8.5% in March from a year earlier, accelerating from February’s 7.9% inflation rate and the highest since 1981. In Tokyo trading, shares of Shionogi dropped 11% after the Japanese pharmaceutical company reported that animal tests for its experimental oral drug to treat COVID-19 showed it may be a risk for fetal development. The light at the end of the tunnel is reasonably bright for China," Clifford Bennett, chief economist at ACY Securities, said in a commentary. It climbed 6.7% to settle at $100.60 on Tuesday, keeping the pressure on inflation. The S&P 500 fell 0.3% after having been up 1.3% earlier in the day. Delta Air Lines, JPMorgan Chase and other big-name companies will kick off the reporting season on Wednesday. The easing of a COVID-19 lockdown in Shanghai was another encouraging factor. In energy trading, benchmark U.S. crude added 10 cents to $100.70 a barrel. Still, the reading was relatively close to economists’ expectations. Higher interest rates can discourage all kinds of investments. More swings may be in store for stocks as companies prepare to report their earnings for the first three months of the year. Shares fell in Shanghai after the Chinese government reported that exports rose nearly 16% in March from a year earlier while imports were flat.

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This Isn't Putin's Inflation (The Wall Street Journal)

The price rises began long before Russia invaded Ukraine and will be hard to stop.

You may cancel your subscription at anytime by calling Customer Service. The White House was right about the consumer-price index, which rose 1.2% in March, the highest monthly rise since the current inflation set in. But inflation didn’t wait to appear until the Ukraine invasion, and by now it will be hard to reduce.

Explore the last week